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Global weather and local butterflies: variable responses to a large‐scale climate pattern along an elevational gradient

Understanding the spatial and temporal scales at which environmental variation affects populations of plants and animals is an important goal for modern population biology, especially in the context of shifting climatic conditions. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) generates climatic extremes of interannual variation, and has been shown to have significant effects on the diversity and abundance of a variety of terrestrial taxa. However, studies that have investigated the influence of such large‐scale climate phenomena have often been limited in spatial and taxonomic scope. We used 23 years (1988–2010) of a long‐term butterfly monitoring data set to explore associations between variation in population abundance of 28 butterfly species and variation in ENSO‐derived sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) across 10 sites that encompass an elevational range of 2750 m in the Sierra Nevada mountain range of California. Our analysis detected a positive, regional effect of increased SSTA on butterfly abundance (wetter and warmer years predict more butterfly observations), yet the influence of SSTA on butterfly abundances varied along the elevational gradient, and also differed greatly among the 28 species. Migratory species had the strongest relationships with ENSO‐derived SSTA, suggesting that large‐scale climate indices are particularly valuable for understanding biotic‐abiotic relationships of the most mobile species. In general, however, the ecological effects of large‐scale climatic factors are context dependent between sites and species. Our results illustrate the power of long‐term data sets for revealing pervasive yet subtle climatic effects, but also caution against expectations derived from exemplar species or single locations in the study of biotic‐abiotic interactions.
- University of California Davis Medical Center United States
- University of Nevada Reno United States
- Board of Regents, NSHE, obo University of Nevada, Reno United States
- University of California, Davis United States
- University of California System United States
migratory taxa, Time Factors, Population Dynamics, Models, Biological, 333, Ecological applications, California, Species Specificity, Models, generalized linear mixed model (GLMM), Animals, elevational gradient, Weather, biotic-abiotic interactions, El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Population Density, biotic–abiotic interactions, Evolutionary Biology, Models, Statistical, butterflies, Ecology, Altitude, El Nino Southern Oscillation, Statistical, Biological, Climate Action, El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), climate change, generalized linear mixed model, Ecological Applications, El Nin ?o Southern Oscillation(ENSO), Zoology, Butterflies
migratory taxa, Time Factors, Population Dynamics, Models, Biological, 333, Ecological applications, California, Species Specificity, Models, generalized linear mixed model (GLMM), Animals, elevational gradient, Weather, biotic-abiotic interactions, El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Population Density, biotic–abiotic interactions, Evolutionary Biology, Models, Statistical, butterflies, Ecology, Altitude, El Nino Southern Oscillation, Statistical, Biological, Climate Action, El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), climate change, generalized linear mixed model, Ecological Applications, El Nin ?o Southern Oscillation(ENSO), Zoology, Butterflies
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).29 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
