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Integrating crop redistribution and improved managements could meet China’s food demand with lower environmental costs
Abstract Sustainably feeding the growing population in China attracts attention globally. Despite practices success, producing enough food to simultaneously address resource and pollution problems has been infeasible. To assess how to achieve this goal in 2035, we created a pathway that synergistic combining improved managements and cropland redistribution based on 11.1 million farmer surveys and 4,272 georeferenced field observations. Here, we firstly selected the practices of top 10% performers in crop yield and nitrogen (N) efficiency as crop-specific attainable improved managements at the county level. The optimized crop distribution within improved managements was then performed to minimize inputs (N and phosphorus fertilizer, irrigation water) or environmental impacts (reactive N [Nr] loss and greenhouse gas [GHG] emissions). We identified that combing improved managements and cropland redistribution could produce enough food demands in 2035, with 24% more production compared to 2012. It also reduced the inputs and environmental impacts in a range of 19%-35%, mainly sourced from the central and eastern coastal areas by improved productivity and diminished cropland of fruit and vegetables. These findings highlight the necessity for a synergistic combination of measures to sustainably feed the growing population and establish a more realistic and effective policy.
- Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology China (People's Republic of)
- China Agricultural University
- Peking University
- McGill University
- Center for Agricultural Resources Research United States
Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture, Economics, FOS: Political science, Population, Agricultural engineering, Soil Science, FOS: Law, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Engineering, Natural resource economics, Sociology, Business, Irrigation, Political science, Biology, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Demography, Agricultural economics, Global and Planetary Change, Global Analysis of Ecosystem Services and Land Use, Ecology, Politics, Life Sciences, Crop Production, Agronomy, FOS: Sociology, Sustainability, Agricultural science, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Soil Carbon Dynamics and Nutrient Cycling in Ecosystems, Redistribution (election), Law
Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture, Economics, FOS: Political science, Population, Agricultural engineering, Soil Science, FOS: Law, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Engineering, Natural resource economics, Sociology, Business, Irrigation, Political science, Biology, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Demography, Agricultural economics, Global and Planetary Change, Global Analysis of Ecosystem Services and Land Use, Ecology, Politics, Life Sciences, Crop Production, Agronomy, FOS: Sociology, Sustainability, Agricultural science, FOS: Biological sciences, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Soil Carbon Dynamics and Nutrient Cycling in Ecosystems, Redistribution (election), Law
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).0 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
