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CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS

This paper is an attempt to assess the impact of climate change on households’ food security in Burkina Faso using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in which we incorporate a random parameter that captures the effect of climate fluctuations on crop yields and on international food prices. The CGE model has been calibrated to reproduce past trends of Burkina Faso’s economy. The results of our simulations show that the impact of increased climatic shocks, due to climate change is felt more by rural poor who highly depend on agriculture. However, given the strong relationship between agriculture and the rest of the economy, low income households in urban areas are also affected. Conversely, the impact of climatic shocks is not as significant for urban non-poor given the level and source of revenue as well as the diversification of their consumption. The results also illustrate the complexity of the mechanisms at work in the explanation of a food crisis occurrence.
- Rural Development Institute China (People's Republic of)
- Chinese Academy of Social Sciences China (People's Republic of)
Consumer/Household Economics, S, Agriculture, food security, Food Security and Poverty, computable general equilibrium, climate change, Agricultural and Food Policy, Community/Rural/Urban Development, Climate change, Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety
Consumer/Household Economics, S, Agriculture, food security, Food Security and Poverty, computable general equilibrium, climate change, Agricultural and Food Policy, Community/Rural/Urban Development, Climate change, Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).0 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
