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https://doi.org/10.32942/osf.i...
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: Crossref
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Nature Ecology & Evolution
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer Nature TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts

Authors: Christopher Hassall; Kirsty H. Macphie; Jelmer M. Samplonius; James W. Pearce-Higgins; James W. Pearce-Higgins; Ben C. Sheldon; Nathalie Pettorelli; +17 Authors

Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts

Abstract

Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match-mismatch hypothesis postulates that differential shifts can lead to phenological asynchrony with negative impacts for consumers. However, at present there has been no consistent analysis of the links between temperature change, phenological asynchrony and individual-to-population-level impacts across taxa, trophic levels and biomes at a global scale. Here, we propose five criteria that all need to be met to demonstrate that temperature-mediated trophic asynchrony poses a growing risk to consumers. We conduct a literature review of 109 papers studying 129 taxa, and find that all five criteria are assessed for only two taxa, with the majority of taxa only having one or two criteria assessed. Crucially, nearly every study was conducted in Europe or North America, and most studies were on terrestrial secondary consumers. We thus lack a robust evidence base from which to draw general conclusions about the risk that climate-mediated trophic asynchrony may pose to populations worldwide.

Countries
Norway, United Kingdom
Keywords

550, Climate Change, Temperature, bepress|Life Sciences|Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, phenology, Ecology and Environment, Europe, bepress|Life Sciences, North America, Seasons, ecology, bepress|Life Sciences|Ecology and Evolutionary Biology|Population Biology, climate-change ecology

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    71
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
71
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid