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Seagrass Thermal Limits and Vulnerability to Future Warming

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Conference object 27 May 2022 Saudi Arabia, Spain, Saudi Arabia Publisher:Frontiers Media SAJournal:Frontiers in Marine Science, volume 9 (eissn: 2296-7745,

Authors:

Núria Marbà;

Gabriel Jordà;

Scott Bennett; Scott Bennett;

Carlos M. Duarte;

doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.860826

handle: 10261/271090 , 10261/211286 , 10754/678482

Seagrass Thermal Limits and Vulnerability to Future Warming

- Summary
- Subjects
- References
  (67)
- Citations
  (19)
- Metrics

Abstract

Seagrasses have experienced major losses globally mostly attributed to human impacts. Recently they are also associated with marine heat waves. The paucity of information on seagrass mortality thermal thresholds prevents the assessment of the risk of seagrass loss under marine heat waves. We conducted a synthesis of reported empirically- or experimentally-determined seagrass upper thermal limits (Tlimit) and tested the hypothesis that they increase with increasing local annual temperature. We found that Tlimit increases 0.42± 0.07°C per°C increase in in situ annual temperature (R2 = 0.52). By combining modelled seagrass Tlimit across global coastal areas with current and projected thermal regimes derived from an ocean reanalysis and global climate models (GCMs), we assessed the proximity of extant seagrass meadows to their Tlimit and the time required for Tlimit to be met under high (RCP8.5) and moderate (RCP4.5) emission scenarios of greenhouse gases. Seagrass meadows worldwide showed a modal difference of 5°C between present Tmax and seagrass Tlimit. This difference was lower than 3°C at the southern Red Sea, the Arabian Gulf, the Gulf of Mexico, revealing these are the areas most in risk of warming-derived seagrass die-off, and up to 24°C at high latitude regions. Seagrasses could meet their Tlimit regularly in summer within 50-60 years or 100 years under, respectively, RCP8.5 or RCP4.5 scenarios for the areas most at risk, to more than 200 years for the Arctic under both scenarios. This study shows that implementation of the goals under the Paris Agreement would safeguard much of global seagrass from heat-derived mass mortality and identifies regions where actions to remove local anthropogenic stresses would be particularly relevant to meet the Target 10 of the Aichi Targets of the Convention of the Biological Diversity.

Countries

Saudi Arabia, Spain, Saudi Arabia

Related Organizations

Spanish National Research Council
Spain
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
Saudi Arabia
Spanish Institute of Oceanography
Spain
University of Western Australia
Australia
UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA

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Keywords

Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, seagrass, Science, Growth, QH1-199.5, Heat waves, Climate change, Mortality, Seagrass, Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages, Temperatures, Q, thresholds, temperature, General. Including nature conservation, geographical distribution, mortality, //metadata.un.org/sdg/3 [http], climate change, Thresholds, heat waves

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67 references, page 1 of 7

Tropical seagrass Halophila stipulacea shifts thermal tolerance during Mediterranean invasion
descriptionPublication2020isCitedBy
doi: 10.1098/rspb.2019.3001 , 10.1098/rspb.2019.3001 , 10.1098/rspb.2019.3001
pmid: 32156215
pmc: PMC7126082
handle: 10261/200470 , 10754/661652
doi: 10.1098/rspb.2019.3001 , 10.1098/rspb.2019.3001 , 10.1098/rspb.2019.3001
pmid: 32156215
pmc: PMC7126082
handle: 10261/200470 , 10754/661652
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Mediterranean Seagrass Growth and Demography Responses to Experimental Warming
descriptionPublication2012isCitedBy
doi: 10.1007/s12237-012-9521-z , 10.1007/s12237-012-9521-z
handle: 10261/88919
doi: 10.1007/s12237-012-9521-z , 10.1007/s12237-012-9521-z
handle: 10261/88919
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Thermal Performance of Seaweeds and Seagrasses Across a Regional Climate Gradient
descriptionPublication2022isCitedBy
doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.733315 , 10.3389/fmars.2022.733315
handle: 10261/272752
doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.733315 , 10.3389/fmars.2022.733315
handle: 10261/272752
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Thermal limits to the geographic distributions of shallow-water marine species
descriptionPublication2017isCitedBy
doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0353-x , 10.1038/s41559-017-0353-x
pmid: 29062125
doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0353-x , 10.1038/s41559-017-0353-x
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A marine heatwave drives massive losses from the world’s largest seagrass carbon stocks
descriptionPublication2018isCitedBy
doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0096-y , 10.1038/s41558-018-0096-y
handle: 10261/163323 , 10754/627404
doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0096-y , 10.1038/s41558-018-0096-y
handle: 10261/163323 , 10754/627404
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Positive effects of high salinity can buffer the negative effects of experimental warming on functional traits of the seagrass Halophila ovalis
descriptionPublication2020isCitedBy
doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111404 , 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111404
pmid: 32753189
handle: 2445/216395
doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111404 , 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2020.111404
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Long-term variability in the flowering phenology and intensity of the temperate seagrass Zostera marina in response to regional sea warming
descriptionPublication2020isCitedBy
doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106821 , 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106821
doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106821 , 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106821
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Sea surface temperatures and seagrass mortality in Florida Bay: Spatial and temporal patterns discerned from MODIS and AVHRR data
descriptionPublication2018isCitedBy
doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2018.02.014 , 10.1016/j.rse.2018.02.014
doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2018.02.014 , 10.1016/j.rse.2018.02.014
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High mortality of Zostera marina under high temperature regimes but minor effects of the invasive macroalgae Gracilaria vermiculophylla
descriptionPublication2011isCitedBy
doi: 10.1016/j.ecss.2010.12.017 , 10.1016/j.ecss.2010.12.017
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A Global Crisis for Seagrass Ecosystems
descriptionPublication2006isCitedBy
doi: 10.1641/0006-3568(2006)56[987:agcfse]2.0.co;2 , 10.1641/0006-3568(2006)56[987:agcfse]2.0.co;2
handle: 10261/88476
doi: 10.1641/0006-3568(2006)56[987:agcfse]2.0.co;2 , 10.1641/0006-3568(2006)56[987:agcfse]2.0.co;2
handle: 10261/88476
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19 citations, page 1 of 2

Decline of seagrass (Posidonia oceanica) production over two decades in the face of warming of the Eastern Mediterranean Sea
descriptionPublication2023cites
doi: 10.1111/nph.19084
pmid: 37366062
doi: 10.1111/nph.19084
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Canopy-forming macroalgae can adapt to marine heatwaves
descriptionPublication2023cites
doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117218
pmid: 37778611
handle: 11588/952566 , 11577/3511853
doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117218
pmid: 37778611
handle: 11588/952566 , 11577/3511853
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Arctic and Subarctic marine heatwaves and their ecological impacts
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doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1473890
doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1473890
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Temperature drives seagrass recovery across the Western North Atlantic
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doi: 10.1101/2024.07.31.605761 , 10.1111/gcb.70172
pmid: 40223617
pmc: PMC11995252
handle: https://repository.ubn.ru.nl/handle/2066/318694 , 20.500.11755/b2d997c5-1963-48d8-9d0c-4fd1166cb277 , 2066/318694
doi: 10.1101/2024.07.31.605761 , 10.1111/gcb.70172
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handle: https://repository.ubn.ru.nl/handle/2066/318694 , 20.500.11755/b2d997c5-1963-48d8-9d0c-4fd1166cb277 , 2066/318694
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Intraspecific facilitation in an intertidal foundation species plays fundamental role in promoting resistance to extreme climatic events
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Projected impacts of future climate change on the aboveground biomass of seagrasses at global scale
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Understanding Nutrient Loads from Catchment and Eutrophication in a Salt Lagoon, Mar Menor Case
descriptionPublication2023cites
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.4524659 , 10.3390/w15203569
handle: 10251/201729 , 10251/201729
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.4524659 , 10.3390/w15203569
handle: 10251/201729 , 10251/201729
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High-resolution temporal assessment of physicochemical variability and water quality in tropical semi-enclosed bays and coral reefs
descriptionPublication2025cites
doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178810
pmid: 39965373
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Predicting seagrass ecosystem resilience to marine heatwave events of variable duration, frequency and re‐occurrence patterns with gaps
descriptionPublication2024cites
doi: 10.1002/aqc.4210
doi: 10.1002/aqc.4210
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Sediment Properties and Seagrass Density Influence the Morphological Plasticity of Seagrass Zostera muelleri More Than Elevated Temperatures
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doi: 10.1007/s12237-025-01485-5
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	citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).	17
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Seagrass Thermal Limits and Vulnerability to Future Warming

Seagrass Thermal Limits and Vulnerability to Future Warming

67 references, page 1 of 7

Tropical seagrass Halophila stipulacea shifts thermal tolerance during Mediterranean invasion

Mediterranean Seagrass Growth and Demography Responses to Experimental Warming

Thermal Performance of Seaweeds and Seagrasses Across a Regional Climate Gradient

Thermal limits to the geographic distributions of shallow-water marine species

A marine heatwave drives massive losses from the world’s largest seagrass carbon stocks

Positive effects of high salinity can buffer the negative effects of experimental warming on functional traits of the seagrass Halophila ovalis

Long-term variability in the flowering phenology and intensity of the temperate seagrass Zostera marina in response to regional sea warming

Sea surface temperatures and seagrass mortality in Florida Bay: Spatial and temporal patterns discerned from MODIS and AVHRR data

High mortality of Zostera marina under high temperature regimes but minor effects of the invasive macroalgae Gracilaria vermiculophylla

A Global Crisis for Seagrass Ecosystems

19 citations, page 1 of 2

Decline of seagrass (Posidonia oceanica) production over two decades in the face of warming of the Eastern Mediterranean Sea

Canopy-forming macroalgae can adapt to marine heatwaves

Arctic and Subarctic marine heatwaves and their ecological impacts

Temperature drives seagrass recovery across the Western North Atlantic

Intraspecific facilitation in an intertidal foundation species plays fundamental role in promoting resistance to extreme climatic events

Projected impacts of future climate change on the aboveground biomass of seagrasses at global scale

Understanding Nutrient Loads from Catchment and Eutrophication in a Salt Lagoon, Mar Menor Case

High-resolution temporal assessment of physicochemical variability and water quality in tropical semi-enclosed bays and coral reefs

Predicting seagrass ecosystem resilience to marine heatwave events of variable duration, frequency and re‐occurrence patterns with gaps

Sediment Properties and Seagrass Density Influence the Morphological Plasticity of Seagrass Zostera muelleri More Than Elevated Temperatures