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The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia

handle: 2158/1147519
The present study assessed the effect of projected climate change on the sowing time, onset, and duration of flowering, the duration of the growing season, and the grain yield of spring barley in Northern Serbia. An AquaCrop simulation covered two climate model integration periods (2001–2030 and 2071–2100) using a dual-step approach (with and without irrigation). After considering the effect of climate change on barley production, the economic benefit of future supplemental irrigation was assessed. The model was calibrated and validated using observed field data (2006–2014), and the simulation’s outcomes for future scenarios were compared to those of the baseline period (1971–2000) that was used for the expected climate analysis. The results showed that the projected features of barley production for the 2001–2030 period did not differ much from current practice in this region. On the contrary, for the 2071–2100 period, barley was expected to be sown earlier, to prolong its vegetation, and to shorten flowering’s duration. Nevertheless, its yield was expected to remain stable. An economic feasibility assessment of irrigation in the future indicated a negative income, which is why spring barley will most likely remain rain-fed under future conditions.
- University of Niš Serbia
- Università degli studi di Salerno Italy
- Institute of Field and Vegetable Crops Serbia
- University of Novi Sad Serbia
- University of Banja Luka Bosnia and Herzegovina
flowering, growing season, AquaCrop, barley, climate change, flowering, growing season, yield, simulation, sowing, barley, yield, simulation, AquaCrop, climate change, Meteorology. Climatology, sowing, QC851-999
flowering, growing season, AquaCrop, barley, climate change, flowering, growing season, yield, simulation, sowing, barley, yield, simulation, AquaCrop, climate change, Meteorology. Climatology, sowing, QC851-999
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).16 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% visibility views 40 download downloads 225 - 40views225downloads
Data source Views Downloads FiVeR - Repository of the Institute of Field and Vegetable Crops 40 225


