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Projecting the Potential Distribution Areas of Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) Driven by Climate Change

Projecting the Potential Distribution Areas of Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) Driven by Climate Change
Ixodes scapularis is a vector of tick-borne diseases. Climate change is frequently invoked as an important cause of geographic expansions of tick-borne diseases. Environmental variables such as temperature and precipitation have an important impact on the geographical distribution of disease vectors. We used the maximum entropy model to project the potential geographic distribution and future trends of I. scapularis. The main climatic variables affecting the distribution of potential suitable areas were screened by the jackknife method. Arc Map 10.5 was used to visualize the projection results to better present the distribution of potential suitable areas. Under climate change scenarios, the potential suitable area of I. scapularis is dynamically changing. The largest suitable area of I. scapularis is under SSP3-7.0 from 2081 to 2100, while the smallest is under SSP5-8.5 from 2081 to 2100, even smaller than the current suitable area. Precipitation in May and September are the main contributing factors affecting the potential suitable areas of I. scapularis. With the opportunity to spread to more potential suitable areas, it is critical to strengthen surveillance to prevent the possible invasion of I. scapularis.
- Shandong Women’s University China (People's Republic of)
- Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention China (People's Republic of)
- Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention China (People's Republic of)
- National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention China (People's Republic of)
- Shandong Women’s University China (People's Republic of)
<i>Ixodes scapularis</i>, QH301-705.5, <i>Ixodes scapularis</i>; potential distribution; MaxEnt; climate change, Article, climate change, MaxEnt, Biology (General), potential distribution
<i>Ixodes scapularis</i>, QH301-705.5, <i>Ixodes scapularis</i>; potential distribution; MaxEnt; climate change, Article, climate change, MaxEnt, Biology (General), potential distribution
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citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).15 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
