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Prediction Success of Machine Learning Methods for Flash Flood Susceptibility Mapping in the Tafresh Watershed, Iran
doi: 10.3390/su11195426
handle: 10919/94562
Floods are some of the most destructive and catastrophic disasters worldwide. Development of management plans needs a deep understanding of the likelihood and magnitude of future flood events. The purpose of this research was to estimate flash flood susceptibility in the Tafresh watershed, Iran, using five machine learning methods, i.e., alternating decision tree (ADT), functional tree (FT), kernel logistic regression (KLR), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA). A geospatial database including 320 historical flood events was constructed and eight geo-environmental variables—elevation, slope, slope aspect, distance from rivers, average annual rainfall, land use, soil type, and lithology—were used as flood influencing factors. Based on a variety of performance metrics, it is revealed that the ADT method was dominant over the other methods. The FT method was ranked as the second-best method, followed by the KLR, MLP, and QDA. Given a few differences between the goodness-of-fit and prediction success of the methods, we concluded that all these five machine-learning-based models are applicable for flood susceptibility mapping in other areas to protect societies from devastating floods.
- Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources Korea (Republic of)
- Korea University of Science and Technology Korea (Republic of)
- Research Institute of Forests and Rangelands Iran (Islamic Republic of)
- Government of Gujarat India
- Institute of Geological Sciences Viet Nam
susceptibility mapping, Environmental effects of industries and plants, TJ807-830, data mining, GIS, TD194-195, gis, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, spatial modeling, GE1-350, alternating decision tree
susceptibility mapping, Environmental effects of industries and plants, TJ807-830, data mining, GIS, TD194-195, gis, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, spatial modeling, GE1-350, alternating decision tree
