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El Cambio Global desde una perspectiva sistémica: propuestas para evitar el colapso

Authors: Martínez-Valderrama, J.;

El Cambio Global desde una perspectiva sistémica: propuestas para evitar el colapso

Abstract

When visualizing main global macro magnitudes temporal trends, such as population or natural resource consumption, we find the same pattern: endless exponential growth. Anyone can understand that, in a finite planet, a non-stop dynamics is impossible. This behavior, inherently unstable, is complicated with the existence of delays. The runaway growth can reach three different steady states: (i) a gently approach to its carrying capacity; (ii) attain that state after a period of oscillations, or (iii) collapsing to a very stable state which is impossible to leave: zero resources and zero population. Climate Warming crisis, the over-discussed issue of the last times, show us that misunderstandings and bad management of environmental problems of anthropogenic origin, need a systemic comprehension and quick actions. The cocktail conformed by the global nature of economy and its impact on environment, with an unprecedented variety and scope, lead us to refer it as a Global Change. Solutions should be based on considering the interaction between different economies in the world and the environmental reinforcing problems. Diminishing unitary consumption, supported by technology, can help us to move to a new paradigm. Hence, consumption should be more virtual than physical, relaxing once and for all the pressure on nature and avoiding the collapse that has already sunken many other civilizations.

{"references": ["Mart\u00ednez Valderrama, J. 2017. El cambio global desde una perspectiva sist\u00e9mica: propuestas para evitar el colapso. Revista de Responsabilidad Social de la Empresa. N\u00ba 27-2017. Cuatrimestre III: 106 - 126. ISSN: 1888-9638"]}

Keywords

Sustainability, Collapse, Global Change, Simulation models, Exponential growth

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This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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