
You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
<script type="text/javascript">
<!--
document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>');
document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=undefined&type=result"></script>');
-->
</script>
Estimating modes of inter-decadal variability and predictability in coupled climate models

Estimating modes of inter-decadal variability and predictability in coupled climate models
A methodology is described that allows a separation of inter-decadal variability into components associated with intra-decadal noise and potentially predictable slow decadal processes. The method is applied to a 1200 year simulation of internal variability of sea surface temperature in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using parameters and radiative forcing associated with the year 2000. The analysis shows large predictability in the extratropical regions. The two leading modes associated with intra-decadal variability are shown to be related to interannual variability in the El Nino--Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation. The leading four slow modes are shown to be related to slow decadal variability in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation. References C. S. Frederiksen, X. Zheng and S. Grainger. Simulated modes of inter-decadal predictability in sea surface temperature. Clim. Dyn. , 46 :2231–2245, 2016. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2699-6 . J. Lou, X. Zheng, C. S. Frederiksen, H. Liu, S. Grainger and K. Ying. Simulated decadal modes of the NH atmospheric circulation arising from intra-decadal variability, external forcing and slow-decadal climate processes. Clim. Dyn. , 48 :2635–2652, 2016. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3229-x Z. Liu. Dynamics of interdecadal climate variability: a historical perspective. J. Clim. , 25 :143–162, 2012. doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3980.1 H. von Storch and F. W. Zwiers. Statistical Analysis in Climate Research . Cambridge University Press, 484pp, 2001.
- Beijing Normal University China (People's Republic of)
- Beijing Normal University China (People's Republic of)
- University of Colorado Boulder United States
- University of Colorado System United States
- Bureau of Meteorology Australia
2 Research products, page 1 of 1
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).1 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
