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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019 Germany, France, Spain, United Kingdom, France, Spain, United States, Australia, AustraliaPublisher:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Funded by:EC | BIGSEA, NSERC, EC | MERCES +1 projectsEC| BIGSEA ,NSERC ,EC| MERCES ,EC| CERESAuthors:David A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
+37 AuthorsVilly Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
Philippe Verley;Villy Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIRESusa Niiranen;
Susa Niiranen
Susa Niiranen in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Jan Volkholz; John P. Dunne; Elizabeth A. Fulton;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIRERicardo Oliveros-Ramos;
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos in OpenAIREJacob Schewe;
Jacob Schewe
Jacob Schewe in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Manuel Barange;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIRECharles A. Stock;
Charles A. Stock
Charles A. Stock in OpenAIREBoris Worm;
Miranda C. Jones;Boris Worm
Boris Worm in OpenAIRENicola D. Walker;
Nicola D. Walker
Nicola D. Walker in OpenAIRELaurent Bopp;
Olivier Maury; Olivier Maury; William W. L. Cheung;Laurent Bopp
Laurent Bopp in OpenAIRETiago H. Silva;
Tiago H. Silva
Tiago H. Silva in OpenAIREDaniele Bianchi;
Daniele Bianchi
Daniele Bianchi in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Tilla Roy;Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIRECatherine M. Bulman;
Tyler D. Eddy; Tyler D. Eddy;Catherine M. Bulman
Catherine M. Bulman in OpenAIRENicolas Barrier;
Nicolas Barrier
Nicolas Barrier in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREJose A. Fernandes;
Jose A. Fernandes
Jose A. Fernandes in OpenAIREYunne-Jai Shin;
Yunne-Jai Shin;Yunne-Jai Shin
Yunne-Jai Shin in OpenAIREWhile the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 °C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.
CIRAD: HAL (Agricult... arrow_drop_down CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 397 citations 397 popularity Top 0.1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 30visibility views 30 download downloads 97 Powered bymore_vert CIRAD: HAL (Agricult... arrow_drop_down CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Conference object , Other literature type , Journal 2018 France, Spain, France, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, United KingdomPublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:EC | BIGSEA, EC | BIOWEB, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran... +2 projectsEC| BIGSEA ,EC| BIOWEB ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377 ,EC| CERES ,NSERCAuthors:D. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy; +47 AuthorsD. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIRED. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy;D. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIREH. K. Lotze;
H. K. Lotze
H. K. Lotze in OpenAIREE. D. Galbraith;
E. D. Galbraith;E. D. Galbraith
E. D. Galbraith in OpenAIREW. Cheung;
M. Barange; M. Barange;W. Cheung
W. Cheung in OpenAIREJ. L. Blanchard;
J. L. Blanchard
J. L. Blanchard in OpenAIREL. Bopp;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz
A. Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREM. Büchner;
M. Büchner
M. Büchner in OpenAIREC. Bulman;
C. Bulman
C. Bulman in OpenAIRED. A. Carozza;
D. A. Carozza
D. A. Carozza in OpenAIREV. Christensen;
V. Christensen
V. Christensen in OpenAIREM. Coll;
M. Coll; M. Coll; J. P. Dunne; J. A. Fernandes; J. A. Fernandes; E. A. Fulton; E. A. Fulton; A. J. Hobday; A. J. Hobday;V. Huber;
V. Huber
V. Huber in OpenAIRES. Jennings;
S. Jennings; S. Jennings; M. Jones;S. Jennings
S. Jennings in OpenAIREP. Lehodey;
P. Lehodey
P. Lehodey in OpenAIREJ. S. Link;
J. S. Link
J. S. Link in OpenAIRES. Mackinson;
S. Mackinson
S. Mackinson in OpenAIREO. Maury;
O. Maury;O. Maury
O. Maury in OpenAIRES. Niiranen;
R. Oliveros-Ramos; T. Roy; T. Roy;S. Niiranen
S. Niiranen in OpenAIREJ. Schewe;
J. Schewe
J. Schewe in OpenAIREY.-J. Shin;
Y.-J. Shin;Y.-J. Shin
Y.-J. Shin in OpenAIRET. Silva;
T. Silva
T. Silva in OpenAIREC. A. Stock;
C. A. Stock
C. A. Stock in OpenAIREJ. Steenbeek;
P. J. Underwood; J. Volkholz; J. R. Watson;J. Steenbeek
J. Steenbeek in OpenAIREN. D. Walker;
N. D. Walker
N. D. Walker in OpenAIREhandle: 10261/165167
Abstract. Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning, processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium- and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.
Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGeoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 119 citations 119 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGeoscientific Model Development (GMD)Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2008 United KingdomPublisher:The Royal Society Authors:Jennings, Simon;
Mélin, Frédéric;Jennings, Simon
Jennings, Simon in OpenAIREBlanchard, Julia L.;
Blanchard, Julia L.
Blanchard, Julia L. in OpenAIREForster, Rodney M.;
+2 AuthorsForster, Rodney M.
Forster, Rodney M. in OpenAIREJennings, Simon;
Mélin, Frédéric;Jennings, Simon
Jennings, Simon in OpenAIREBlanchard, Julia L.;
Blanchard, Julia L.
Blanchard, Julia L. in OpenAIREForster, Rodney M.;
Forster, Rodney M.
Forster, Rodney M. in OpenAIREDulvy, Nicholas K.;
Wilson, Rod W.;Dulvy, Nicholas K.
Dulvy, Nicholas K. in OpenAIREWe show how theoretical developments in macroecology, life-history theory and food-web ecology can be combined to formulate a simple model for predicting the potential biomass, production, size and trophic structure of consumer communities. The strength of our approach is that it uses remote sensing data to predict properties of consumer communities in environments that are challenging and expensive to sample directly. An application of the model to the marine environment on a global scale, using primary production and temperature estimates from satellite remote sensing as inputs, suggests that the global biomass of marine animals more than 10 −5 g wet weight is 2.62×10 9 t (=8.16 g m −2 ocean) and production is 1.00×10 10 t yr −1 (31.15 g m −2 yr −1 ). Based on the life-history theory, we propose and apply an approximation for distinguishing the relative contributions of different animal groups. Fish biomass and production, for example, are estimated as 8.99×10 8 t (2.80 g m −2 ) and 7.91×10 8 t yr −1 (2.46 g m −2 yr −1 ), respectively, and 50% of fish biomass is shown to occur in 17% of the total ocean area (8.22 g m −2 ). The analyses show that emerging ecological theory can be synthesized to set baselines for assessing human and climate impacts on global scales.
Proceedings of the R... arrow_drop_down Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Royal Society Data Sharing and AccessibilityData sources: CrossrefProceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2008Data sources: Europe PubMed CentralProceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphUniversity of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2008Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1098/rspb.2008.0192&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 193 citations 193 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Proceedings of the R... arrow_drop_down Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Royal Society Data Sharing and AccessibilityData sources: CrossrefProceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2008Data sources: Europe PubMed CentralProceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphUniversity of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2008Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1098/rspb.2008.0192&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2017 Germany, Australia, AustraliaPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:NSERC, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...NSERC ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377Authors:Heike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREReg Watson;
+19 AuthorsReg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREReg Watson;
Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREElizabeth A. Fulton;
Elizabeth A. Fulton;Elizabeth A. Fulton
Elizabeth A. Fulton in OpenAIRERichard S. Cottrell;
Richard S. Cottrell
Richard S. Cottrell in OpenAIRELindsay Davidson;
Lindsay Davidson
Lindsay Davidson in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREJohn P. Dunne;
John P. Dunne
John P. Dunne in OpenAIREKirsty L. Nash;
Kirsty L. Nash
Kirsty L. Nash in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
William W. L. Cheung;Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIRETyler D. Eddy;
Tyler D. Eddy;Tyler D. Eddy
Tyler D. Eddy in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Eric D. Galbraith; Joshua Elliott;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIREpmid: 29046559
Fisheries and aquaculture make a crucial contribution to global food security, nutrition and livelihoods. However, the UN Sustainable Development Goals separate marine and terrestrial food production sectors and ecosystems. To sustainably meet increasing global demands for fish, the interlinkages among goals within and across fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture sectors must be recognized and addressed along with their changing nature. Here, we assess and highlight development challenges for fisheries-dependent countries based on analyses of interactions and trade-offs between goals focusing on food, biodiversity and climate change. We demonstrate that some countries are likely to face double jeopardies in both fisheries and agriculture sectors under climate change. The strategies to mitigate these risks will be context-dependent, and will need to directly address the trade-offs among Sustainable Development Goals, such as halting biodiversity loss and reducing poverty. Countries with low adaptive capacity but increasing demand for food require greater support and capacity building to transition towards reconciling trade-offs. Necessary actions are context-dependent and include effective governance, improved management and conservation, maximizing societal and environmental benefits from trade, increased equitability of distribution and innovation in food production, including continued development of low input and low impact aquaculture.
Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Nature Ecology & EvolutionArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer Nature TDMData sources: CrossrefPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 182 citations 182 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Nature Ecology & EvolutionArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer Nature TDMData sources: CrossrefPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018 Spain, Spain, United Kingdom, Australia, AustraliaPublisher:Wiley Funded by:NSERC, EC | BIGSEANSERC ,EC| BIGSEAAuthors:William W. L. Cheung;
William W. L. Cheung
William W. L. Cheung in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; +9 AuthorsDerek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREWilliam W. L. Cheung;
William W. L. Cheung
William W. L. Cheung in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury;Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Simon Jennings; Simon Jennings;Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREAbstractClimate change effects on marine ecosystems include impacts on primary production, ocean temperature, species distributions, and abundance at local to global scales. These changes will significantly alter marine ecosystem structure and function with associated socio‐economic impacts on ecosystem services, marine fisheries, and fishery‐dependent societies. Yet how these changes may play out among ocean basins over the 21st century remains unclear, with most projections coming from single ecosystem models that do not adequately capture the range of model uncertainty. We address this by using six marine ecosystem models within the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (Fish‐MIP) to analyze responses of marine animal biomass in all major ocean basins to contrasting climate change scenarios. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5), total marine animal biomass declined by an ensemble mean of 15%–30% (±12%–17%) in the North and South Atlantic and Pacific, and the Indian Ocean by 2100, whereas polar ocean basins experienced a 20%–80% (±35%–200%) increase. Uncertainty and model disagreement were greatest in the Arctic and smallest in the South Pacific Ocean. Projected changes were reduced under a low (RCP2.6) emissions scenario. Under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, biomass projections were highly correlated with changes in net primary production and negatively correlated with projected sea surface temperature increases across all ocean basins except the polar oceans. Ecosystem structure was projected to shift as animal biomass concentrated in different size‐classes across ocean basins and emissions scenarios. We highlight that climate change mitigation measures could moderate the impacts on marine animal biomass by reducing biomass declines in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Ocean basins. The range of individual model projections emphasizes the importance of using an ensemble approach in assessing uncertainty of future change.
Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: CrossrefUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.14512&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 153 citations 153 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 11visibility views 11 download downloads 365 Powered bymore_vert Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: CrossrefUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.14512&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012 United KingdomPublisher:The Royal Society Authors:Manuel Barange;
Manuel Barange
Manuel Barange in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard; Robert Holmes; +7 AuthorsJulia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREManuel Barange;
Manuel Barange
Manuel Barange in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard; Robert Holmes; J. Icarus Allen;Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
James Harle;Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREJason Holt;
Gorka Merino;Jason Holt
Jason Holt in OpenAIREExisting methods to predict the effects of climate change on the biomass and production of marine communities are predicated on modelling the interactions and dynamics of individual species, a very challenging approach when interactions and distributions are changing and little is known about the ecological mechanisms driving the responses of many species. An informative parallel approach is to develop size-based methods. These capture the properties of food webs that describe energy flux and production at a particular size, independent of species' ecology. We couple a physical–biogeochemical model with a dynamic, size-based food web model to predict the future effects of climate change on fish biomass and production in 11 large regional shelf seas, with and without fishing effects. Changes in potential fish production are shown to most strongly mirror changes in phytoplankton production. We project declines of 30–60% in potential fish production across some important areas of tropical shelf and upwelling seas, most notably in the eastern Indo-Pacific, the northern Humboldt and the North Canary Current. Conversely, in some areas of the high latitude shelf seas, the production of pelagic predators was projected to increase by 28–89%.
Philosophical Transa... arrow_drop_down Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2012 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Royal Society Data Sharing and AccessibilityData sources: CrossrefPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2013Data sources: Europe PubMed CentralNatural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2012Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2012Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1098/rstb.2012.0231&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 317 citations 317 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 6visibility views 6 download downloads 14 Powered bymore_vert Philosophical Transa... arrow_drop_down Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2012 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Royal Society Data Sharing and AccessibilityData sources: CrossrefPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesArticle . 2013Data sources: Europe PubMed CentralNatural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2012Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2012Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1098/rstb.2012.0231&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2011Embargo end date: 20 Sep 2018 Ireland, United Kingdom, IrelandPublisher:Elsevier BV Publicly fundedAuthors:Stephen D. Simpson;
Pieter-Jan Schön;Stephen D. Simpson
Stephen D. Simpson in OpenAIREMark P. Johnson;
Mark P. Johnson
Mark P. Johnson in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
+7 AuthorsSimon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIREStephen D. Simpson;
Pieter-Jan Schön;Stephen D. Simpson
Stephen D. Simpson in OpenAIREMark P. Johnson;
Mark P. Johnson
Mark P. Johnson in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Martin J. Genner; Martin J. Genner;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIREDavid W. Sims;
David W. Sims;David W. Sims
David W. Sims in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard;Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREClimate change affects marine biological processes from genetic to ecosystem levels [1-3]. Recent warming in the northeast Atlantic [4, 5] has caused distributional shifts in some fish species along latitudinal and depth gradients [6, 7], but such changes, as predicted by climate envelope models [8], may often be prevented because population movement requires availability of suitable habitat. We assessed the full impacts of warming on the commercially important European continental shelf fish assemblage using a data-driven Eulerian (grid-based) approach that accommodates spatial heterogeneity in ecological and environmental conditions. We analyzed local associations of species abundance and community diversity with climatic variables, assessing trends in 172 cells from records of >100 million individuals sampled over 1.2 million km(2) from 1980-2008. We demonstrate responses to warming in 72% of common species, with three times more species increasing in abundance than declining, and find these trends reflected in international commercial landings. Profound reorganization of the relative abundance of species in local communities occurred despite decadel stability in the presence-absence of species. Our analysis highlights the importance of focusing on changes in species. abundance in established local communities to assess the full consequences of climate change for commercial fisheries and food security.
National University ... arrow_drop_down National University of Ireland (NUI), Galway: ARANArticle . 2011License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10379/13926Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Current BiologyArticle . 2011 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Elsevier Non-CommercialData sources: CrossrefUniversity of Bristol: Bristol ResearchArticle . 2011Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2011Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.cub.2011.08.016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 211 citations 211 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 1visibility views 1 download downloads 8 Powered bymore_vert National University ... arrow_drop_down National University of Ireland (NUI), Galway: ARANArticle . 2011License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10379/13926Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Current BiologyArticle . 2011 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Elsevier Non-CommercialData sources: CrossrefUniversity of Bristol: Bristol ResearchArticle . 2011Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2011Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.cub.2011.08.016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu