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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2019 Spain, France, United Kingdom, France, Australia, France, Germany, France, France, Australia, United States, Spain, FrancePublisher:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Funded by:EC | BIGSEA, EC | CERES, NSERC +1 projectsEC| BIGSEA ,EC| CERES ,NSERC ,EC| MERCESAuthors:David A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
+37 AuthorsVilly Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
Philippe Verley;Villy Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIRESusa Niiranen;
Susa Niiranen
Susa Niiranen in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Jan Volkholz; John P. Dunne; Elizabeth A. Fulton;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIRERicardo Oliveros-Ramos;
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos in OpenAIREJacob Schewe;
Jacob Schewe
Jacob Schewe in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Manuel Barange;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIRECharles A. Stock;
Charles A. Stock
Charles A. Stock in OpenAIREBoris Worm;
Miranda C. Jones;Boris Worm
Boris Worm in OpenAIRENicola D. Walker;
Nicola D. Walker
Nicola D. Walker in OpenAIRELaurent Bopp;
Olivier Maury; Olivier Maury; William W. L. Cheung;Laurent Bopp
Laurent Bopp in OpenAIRETiago H. Silva;
Tiago H. Silva
Tiago H. Silva in OpenAIREDaniele Bianchi;
Daniele Bianchi
Daniele Bianchi in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Tilla Roy;Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIRECatherine M. Bulman;
Tyler D. Eddy; Tyler D. Eddy;Catherine M. Bulman
Catherine M. Bulman in OpenAIRENicolas Barrier;
Nicolas Barrier
Nicolas Barrier in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREJose A. Fernandes;
Jose A. Fernandes
Jose A. Fernandes in OpenAIREYunne-Jai Shin;
Yunne-Jai Shin;Yunne-Jai Shin
Yunne-Jai Shin in OpenAIREWhile the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 °C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.
University of East A... arrow_drop_down University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversity of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0tf378n8Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2019Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 426 citations 426 popularity Top 0.1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 387visibility views 387 download downloads 142 Powered bymore_vert University of East A... arrow_drop_down University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversity of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0tf378n8Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2019Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2019 Spain, France, United Kingdom, France, Australia, France, Germany, France, France, Australia, United States, Spain, FrancePublisher:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Funded by:EC | BIGSEA, EC | CERES, NSERC +1 projectsEC| BIGSEA ,EC| CERES ,NSERC ,EC| MERCESAuthors:David A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
+37 AuthorsVilly Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
Steve Mackinson;David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREVilly Christensen;
Philippe Verley;Villy Christensen
Villy Christensen in OpenAIRESusa Niiranen;
Susa Niiranen
Susa Niiranen in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Jan Volkholz; John P. Dunne; Elizabeth A. Fulton;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIRERicardo Oliveros-Ramos;
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos
Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos in OpenAIREJacob Schewe;
Jacob Schewe
Jacob Schewe in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Manuel Barange;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIRECharles A. Stock;
Charles A. Stock
Charles A. Stock in OpenAIREBoris Worm;
Miranda C. Jones;Boris Worm
Boris Worm in OpenAIRENicola D. Walker;
Nicola D. Walker
Nicola D. Walker in OpenAIRELaurent Bopp;
Olivier Maury; Olivier Maury; William W. L. Cheung;Laurent Bopp
Laurent Bopp in OpenAIRETiago H. Silva;
Tiago H. Silva
Tiago H. Silva in OpenAIREDaniele Bianchi;
Daniele Bianchi
Daniele Bianchi in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Tilla Roy;Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIRECatherine M. Bulman;
Tyler D. Eddy; Tyler D. Eddy;Catherine M. Bulman
Catherine M. Bulman in OpenAIRENicolas Barrier;
Nicolas Barrier
Nicolas Barrier in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREJose A. Fernandes;
Jose A. Fernandes
Jose A. Fernandes in OpenAIREYunne-Jai Shin;
Yunne-Jai Shin;Yunne-Jai Shin
Yunne-Jai Shin in OpenAIREWhile the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 °C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.
University of East A... arrow_drop_down University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversity of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0tf378n8Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2019Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 426 citations 426 popularity Top 0.1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 387visibility views 387 download downloads 142 Powered bymore_vert University of East A... arrow_drop_down University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversity of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0tf378n8Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université de Bretagne Occidentale: HALArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: https://hal.umontpellier.fr/hal-02272161Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2019Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2019License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1073/pnas.1900194116&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Conference object , Other literature type , Journal 2018 United Kingdom, France, France, Spain, France, United Kingdom, France, Germany, France, Spain, United Kingdom, Canada, United Kingdom, FrancePublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:EC | CERES, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran..., EC | BIGSEA +2 projectsEC| CERES ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377 ,EC| BIGSEA ,EC| BIOWEB ,NSERCAuthors:D. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy; +47 AuthorsD. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIRED. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy;D. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIREH. K. Lotze;
H. K. Lotze
H. K. Lotze in OpenAIREE. D. Galbraith;
E. D. Galbraith;E. D. Galbraith
E. D. Galbraith in OpenAIREW. Cheung;
M. Barange; M. Barange;W. Cheung
W. Cheung in OpenAIREJ. L. Blanchard;
J. L. Blanchard
J. L. Blanchard in OpenAIREL. Bopp;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz
A. Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREM. Büchner;
M. Büchner
M. Büchner in OpenAIREC. Bulman;
C. Bulman
C. Bulman in OpenAIRED. A. Carozza;
D. A. Carozza
D. A. Carozza in OpenAIREV. Christensen;
V. Christensen
V. Christensen in OpenAIREM. Coll;
M. Coll; M. Coll; J. P. Dunne; J. A. Fernandes; J. A. Fernandes; E. A. Fulton; E. A. Fulton; A. J. Hobday; A. J. Hobday;V. Huber;
V. Huber
V. Huber in OpenAIRES. Jennings;
S. Jennings; S. Jennings; M. Jones;S. Jennings
S. Jennings in OpenAIREP. Lehodey;
P. Lehodey
P. Lehodey in OpenAIREJ. S. Link;
J. S. Link
J. S. Link in OpenAIRES. Mackinson;
S. Mackinson
S. Mackinson in OpenAIREO. Maury;
O. Maury;O. Maury
O. Maury in OpenAIRES. Niiranen;
S. Niiranen
S. Niiranen in OpenAIRER. Oliveros-Ramos;
T. Roy; T. Roy;R. Oliveros-Ramos
R. Oliveros-Ramos in OpenAIREJ. Schewe;
J. Schewe
J. Schewe in OpenAIREY.-J. Shin;
Y.-J. Shin;Y.-J. Shin
Y.-J. Shin in OpenAIRET. Silva;
T. Silva
T. Silva in OpenAIREC. A. Stock;
C. A. Stock
C. A. Stock in OpenAIREJ. Steenbeek;
P. J. Underwood; J. Volkholz; J. R. Watson;J. Steenbeek
J. Steenbeek in OpenAIREN. D. Walker;
N. D. Walker
N. D. Walker in OpenAIREhandle: 10261/165167
Abstract. Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning, processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium- and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.
Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversité de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGeoscientific Model DevelopmentArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 125 citations 125 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 82visibility views 82 download downloads 282 Powered bymore_vert Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversité de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGeoscientific Model DevelopmentArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Conference object , Other literature type , Journal 2018 United Kingdom, France, France, Spain, France, United Kingdom, France, Germany, France, Spain, United Kingdom, Canada, United Kingdom, FrancePublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:EC | CERES, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran..., EC | BIGSEA +2 projectsEC| CERES ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377 ,EC| BIGSEA ,EC| BIOWEB ,NSERCAuthors:D. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy; +47 AuthorsD. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIRED. P. Tittensor;
D. P. Tittensor; T. D. Eddy; T. D. Eddy;D. P. Tittensor
D. P. Tittensor in OpenAIREH. K. Lotze;
H. K. Lotze
H. K. Lotze in OpenAIREE. D. Galbraith;
E. D. Galbraith;E. D. Galbraith
E. D. Galbraith in OpenAIREW. Cheung;
M. Barange; M. Barange;W. Cheung
W. Cheung in OpenAIREJ. L. Blanchard;
J. L. Blanchard
J. L. Blanchard in OpenAIREL. Bopp;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz;
A. Bryndum-Buchholz
A. Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREM. Büchner;
M. Büchner
M. Büchner in OpenAIREC. Bulman;
C. Bulman
C. Bulman in OpenAIRED. A. Carozza;
D. A. Carozza
D. A. Carozza in OpenAIREV. Christensen;
V. Christensen
V. Christensen in OpenAIREM. Coll;
M. Coll; M. Coll; J. P. Dunne; J. A. Fernandes; J. A. Fernandes; E. A. Fulton; E. A. Fulton; A. J. Hobday; A. J. Hobday;V. Huber;
V. Huber
V. Huber in OpenAIRES. Jennings;
S. Jennings; S. Jennings; M. Jones;S. Jennings
S. Jennings in OpenAIREP. Lehodey;
P. Lehodey
P. Lehodey in OpenAIREJ. S. Link;
J. S. Link
J. S. Link in OpenAIRES. Mackinson;
S. Mackinson
S. Mackinson in OpenAIREO. Maury;
O. Maury;O. Maury
O. Maury in OpenAIRES. Niiranen;
S. Niiranen
S. Niiranen in OpenAIRER. Oliveros-Ramos;
T. Roy; T. Roy;R. Oliveros-Ramos
R. Oliveros-Ramos in OpenAIREJ. Schewe;
J. Schewe
J. Schewe in OpenAIREY.-J. Shin;
Y.-J. Shin;Y.-J. Shin
Y.-J. Shin in OpenAIRET. Silva;
T. Silva
T. Silva in OpenAIREC. A. Stock;
C. A. Stock
C. A. Stock in OpenAIREJ. Steenbeek;
P. J. Underwood; J. Volkholz; J. R. Watson;J. Steenbeek
J. Steenbeek in OpenAIREN. D. Walker;
N. D. Walker
N. D. Walker in OpenAIREhandle: 10261/165167
Abstract. Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0 (Fish-MIP v1.0), part of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), which is a cross-sectoral network of climate impact modellers. Given the complexity of the marine ecosystem, this class of models has substantial heterogeneity of purpose, scope, theoretical underpinning, processes considered, parameterizations, resolution (grain size), and spatial extent. This heterogeneity reflects the lack of a unified understanding of the marine ecosystem and implies that the assemblage of all models is more likely to include a greater number of relevant processes than any single model. The current Fish-MIP protocol is designed to allow these heterogeneous models to be forced with common Earth System Model (ESM) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under prescribed scenarios for historic (from the 1950s) and future (to 2100) time periods; it will be adapted to CMIP phase 6 (CMIP6) in future iterations. It also describes a standardized set of outputs for each participating Fish-MIP model to produce. This enables the broad characterization of differences between and uncertainties within models and projections when assessing climate and fisheries impacts on marine ecosystems and the services they provide. The systematic generation, collation, and comparison of results from Fish-MIP will inform an understanding of the range of plausible changes in marine ecosystems and improve our capacity to define and convey the strengths and weaknesses of model-based advice on future states of marine ecosystems and fisheries. Ultimately, Fish-MIP represents a step towards bringing together the marine ecosystem modelling community to produce consistent ensemble medium- and long-term projections of marine ecosystems.
Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversité de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGeoscientific Model DevelopmentArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 125 citations 125 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 82visibility views 82 download downloads 282 Powered bymore_vert Plymouth Marine Scie... arrow_drop_down Plymouth Marine Science Electronic Archive (PlyMEA)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: CORE (RIOXX-UK Aggregator)University of East Anglia digital repositoryArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: University of East Anglia digital repositoryUniversité de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSUArticle . 2018Full-Text: https://hal.science/hal-01806877Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2018License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGeoscientific Model DevelopmentArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2017 Australia, France, Australia, GermanyPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:NSERC, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...NSERC ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377Authors:Heike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREReg Watson;
+19 AuthorsReg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREReg Watson;
Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREElizabeth A. Fulton;
Elizabeth A. Fulton;Elizabeth A. Fulton
Elizabeth A. Fulton in OpenAIRERichard S. Cottrell;
Richard S. Cottrell
Richard S. Cottrell in OpenAIRELindsay Davidson;
Lindsay Davidson
Lindsay Davidson in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREJohn P. Dunne;
John P. Dunne
John P. Dunne in OpenAIREKirsty L. Nash;
Kirsty L. Nash
Kirsty L. Nash in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
William W. L. Cheung;Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIRETyler D. Eddy;
Tyler D. Eddy;Tyler D. Eddy
Tyler D. Eddy in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Eric D. Galbraith; Joshua Elliott;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIREpmid: 29046559
Fisheries and aquaculture make a crucial contribution to global food security, nutrition and livelihoods. However, the UN Sustainable Development Goals separate marine and terrestrial food production sectors and ecosystems. To sustainably meet increasing global demands for fish, the interlinkages among goals within and across fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture sectors must be recognized and addressed along with their changing nature. Here, we assess and highlight development challenges for fisheries-dependent countries based on analyses of interactions and trade-offs between goals focusing on food, biodiversity and climate change. We demonstrate that some countries are likely to face double jeopardies in both fisheries and agriculture sectors under climate change. The strategies to mitigate these risks will be context-dependent, and will need to directly address the trade-offs among Sustainable Development Goals, such as halting biodiversity loss and reducing poverty. Countries with low adaptive capacity but increasing demand for food require greater support and capacity building to transition towards reconciling trade-offs. Necessary actions are context-dependent and include effective governance, improved management and conservation, maximizing societal and environmental benefits from trade, increased equitability of distribution and innovation in food production, including continued development of low input and low impact aquaculture.
Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Nature Ecology & EvolutionArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer Nature TDMData sources: CrossrefPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen 195 citations 195 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Nature Ecology & EvolutionArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer Nature TDMData sources: CrossrefPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2017 Australia, France, Australia, GermanyPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:NSERC, ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...NSERC ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377Authors:Heike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREReg Watson;
+19 AuthorsReg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREDavid A. Carozza;
David A. Carozza
David A. Carozza in OpenAIRENicholas K. Dulvy;
Nicholas K. Dulvy
Nicholas K. Dulvy in OpenAIREReg Watson;
Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREElizabeth A. Fulton;
Elizabeth A. Fulton;Elizabeth A. Fulton
Elizabeth A. Fulton in OpenAIRERichard S. Cottrell;
Richard S. Cottrell
Richard S. Cottrell in OpenAIRELindsay Davidson;
Lindsay Davidson
Lindsay Davidson in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREJohn P. Dunne;
John P. Dunne
John P. Dunne in OpenAIREKirsty L. Nash;
Kirsty L. Nash
Kirsty L. Nash in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREMatthias Büchner;
William W. L. Cheung;Matthias Büchner
Matthias Büchner in OpenAIRETyler D. Eddy;
Tyler D. Eddy;Tyler D. Eddy
Tyler D. Eddy in OpenAIRESimon Jennings;
Simon Jennings; Eric D. Galbraith; Joshua Elliott;Simon Jennings
Simon Jennings in OpenAIREpmid: 29046559
Fisheries and aquaculture make a crucial contribution to global food security, nutrition and livelihoods. However, the UN Sustainable Development Goals separate marine and terrestrial food production sectors and ecosystems. To sustainably meet increasing global demands for fish, the interlinkages among goals within and across fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture sectors must be recognized and addressed along with their changing nature. Here, we assess and highlight development challenges for fisheries-dependent countries based on analyses of interactions and trade-offs between goals focusing on food, biodiversity and climate change. We demonstrate that some countries are likely to face double jeopardies in both fisheries and agriculture sectors under climate change. The strategies to mitigate these risks will be context-dependent, and will need to directly address the trade-offs among Sustainable Development Goals, such as halting biodiversity loss and reducing poverty. Countries with low adaptive capacity but increasing demand for food require greater support and capacity building to transition towards reconciling trade-offs. Necessary actions are context-dependent and include effective governance, improved management and conservation, maximizing societal and environmental benefits from trade, increased equitability of distribution and innovation in food production, including continued development of low input and low impact aquaculture.
Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Nature Ecology & EvolutionArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer Nature TDMData sources: CrossrefPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen 195 citations 195 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Hyper Article en Lig... arrow_drop_down Nature Ecology & EvolutionArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer Nature TDMData sources: CrossrefPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2018 Australia, France, United Kingdom, Australia, United KingdomPublisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP170104240Authors:Heather, F. J.;
Heather, F. J.
Heather, F. J. in OpenAIREChilds, D. Z.;
Childs, D. Z.
Childs, D. Z. in OpenAIREDarnaude, Audrey M.;
Darnaude, Audrey M.
Darnaude, Audrey M. in OpenAIREBlanchard, J. L.;
Blanchard, J. L.
Blanchard, J. L. in OpenAIREAccurate information on the growth rates of fish is crucial for fisheries stock assessment and management. Empirical life history parameters (von Bertalanffy growth) are widely fitted to cross-sectional size-at-age data sampled from fish populations. This method often assumes that environmental factors affecting growth remain constant over time. The current study utilized longitudinal life history information contained in otoliths from 412 juveniles and adults of gilthead seabream, Sparus aurata, a commercially important species fished and farmed throughout the Mediterranean. Historical annual growth rates over 11 consecutive years (2002-2012) in the Gulf of Lions (NW Mediterranean) were reconstructed to investigate the effect of temperature variations on the annual growth of this fish. S. aurata growth was modelled linearly as the relationship between otolith size at year t against otolith size at the previous year t-1. The effect of temperature on growth was modelled with linear mixed effects models and a simplified linear model to be implemented in a cohort Integral Projection Model (cIPM). The cIPM was used to project S. aurata growth, year to year, under different temperature scenarios. Our results determined current increasing summer temperatures to have a negative effect on S. aurata annual growth in the Gulf of Lions. They suggest that global warming already has and will further have a significant impact on S. aurata size-at-age, with important implications for age-structured stock assessments and reference points used in fisheries.
CORE arrow_drop_down ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0196092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 15 citations 15 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0196092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2018 Australia, France, United Kingdom, Australia, United KingdomPublisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP170104240Authors:Heather, F. J.;
Heather, F. J.
Heather, F. J. in OpenAIREChilds, D. Z.;
Childs, D. Z.
Childs, D. Z. in OpenAIREDarnaude, Audrey M.;
Darnaude, Audrey M.
Darnaude, Audrey M. in OpenAIREBlanchard, J. L.;
Blanchard, J. L.
Blanchard, J. L. in OpenAIREAccurate information on the growth rates of fish is crucial for fisheries stock assessment and management. Empirical life history parameters (von Bertalanffy growth) are widely fitted to cross-sectional size-at-age data sampled from fish populations. This method often assumes that environmental factors affecting growth remain constant over time. The current study utilized longitudinal life history information contained in otoliths from 412 juveniles and adults of gilthead seabream, Sparus aurata, a commercially important species fished and farmed throughout the Mediterranean. Historical annual growth rates over 11 consecutive years (2002-2012) in the Gulf of Lions (NW Mediterranean) were reconstructed to investigate the effect of temperature variations on the annual growth of this fish. S. aurata growth was modelled linearly as the relationship between otolith size at year t against otolith size at the previous year t-1. The effect of temperature on growth was modelled with linear mixed effects models and a simplified linear model to be implemented in a cohort Integral Projection Model (cIPM). The cIPM was used to project S. aurata growth, year to year, under different temperature scenarios. Our results determined current increasing summer temperatures to have a negative effect on S. aurata annual growth in the Gulf of Lions. They suggest that global warming already has and will further have a significant impact on S. aurata size-at-age, with important implications for age-structured stock assessments and reference points used in fisheries.
CORE arrow_drop_down ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0196092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 15 citations 15 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2018Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0196092&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2023Publisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP170104240Authors:Asta Audzijonyte;
Asta Audzijonyte
Asta Audzijonyte in OpenAIREGustav W. Delius;
Gustav W. Delius
Gustav W. Delius in OpenAIRERick D. Stuart-Smith;
Camilla Novaglio; +3 AuthorsRick D. Stuart-Smith
Rick D. Stuart-Smith in OpenAIREAsta Audzijonyte;
Asta Audzijonyte
Asta Audzijonyte in OpenAIREGustav W. Delius;
Gustav W. Delius
Gustav W. Delius in OpenAIRERick D. Stuart-Smith;
Camilla Novaglio; Graham J. Edgar;Rick D. Stuart-Smith
Rick D. Stuart-Smith in OpenAIRENeville S. Barrett;
Neville S. Barrett
Neville S. Barrett in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREThe multifaceted effects of climate change on physical and biogeochemical processes are rapidly altering marine ecosystems but often are considered in isolation, leaving our understanding of interactions between these drivers of ecosystem change relatively poor. This is particularly true for shallow coastal ecosystems, which are fuelled by a combination of distinct pelagic and benthic energy pathways that may respond to climate change in fundamentally distinct ways. The fish production supported by these systems is likely to be impacted by climate change differently to those of offshore and shelf ecosystems, which have relatively simpler food webs and mostly lack benthic primary production sources. We developed a novel, multispecies size spectrum model for shallow coastal reefs, specifically designed to simulate potential interactive outcomes of changing benthic and pelagic energy inputs and temperatures and calculate the relative importance of these variables for the fish community. Our model, calibrated using field data from an extensive temperate reef monitoring program, predicts that changes in resource levels will have much stronger impacts on fish biomass and yields than changes driven by physiological responses to temperature. Under increased plankton abundance, species in all fish trophic groups were predicted to increase in biomass, average size, and yields. By contrast, changes in benthic resources produced variable responses across fish trophic groups. Increased benthic resources led to increasing benthivorous and piscivorous fish biomasses, yields, and mean body sizes, but biomass decreases among herbivore and planktivore species. When resource changes were combined with warming seas, physiological responses generally decreased species’ biomass and yields. Our results suggest that understanding changes in benthic production and its implications for coastal fisheries should be a priority research area. Our modified size spectrum model provides a framework for further study of benthic and pelagic energy pathways that can be easily adapted to other ecosystems.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pbio.3002392&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 4 citations 4 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pbio.3002392&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2023Publisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP170104240Authors:Asta Audzijonyte;
Asta Audzijonyte
Asta Audzijonyte in OpenAIREGustav W. Delius;
Gustav W. Delius
Gustav W. Delius in OpenAIRERick D. Stuart-Smith;
Camilla Novaglio; +3 AuthorsRick D. Stuart-Smith
Rick D. Stuart-Smith in OpenAIREAsta Audzijonyte;
Asta Audzijonyte
Asta Audzijonyte in OpenAIREGustav W. Delius;
Gustav W. Delius
Gustav W. Delius in OpenAIRERick D. Stuart-Smith;
Camilla Novaglio; Graham J. Edgar;Rick D. Stuart-Smith
Rick D. Stuart-Smith in OpenAIRENeville S. Barrett;
Neville S. Barrett
Neville S. Barrett in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREThe multifaceted effects of climate change on physical and biogeochemical processes are rapidly altering marine ecosystems but often are considered in isolation, leaving our understanding of interactions between these drivers of ecosystem change relatively poor. This is particularly true for shallow coastal ecosystems, which are fuelled by a combination of distinct pelagic and benthic energy pathways that may respond to climate change in fundamentally distinct ways. The fish production supported by these systems is likely to be impacted by climate change differently to those of offshore and shelf ecosystems, which have relatively simpler food webs and mostly lack benthic primary production sources. We developed a novel, multispecies size spectrum model for shallow coastal reefs, specifically designed to simulate potential interactive outcomes of changing benthic and pelagic energy inputs and temperatures and calculate the relative importance of these variables for the fish community. Our model, calibrated using field data from an extensive temperate reef monitoring program, predicts that changes in resource levels will have much stronger impacts on fish biomass and yields than changes driven by physiological responses to temperature. Under increased plankton abundance, species in all fish trophic groups were predicted to increase in biomass, average size, and yields. By contrast, changes in benthic resources produced variable responses across fish trophic groups. Increased benthic resources led to increasing benthivorous and piscivorous fish biomasses, yields, and mean body sizes, but biomass decreases among herbivore and planktivore species. When resource changes were combined with warming seas, physiological responses generally decreased species’ biomass and yields. Our results suggest that understanding changes in benthic production and its implications for coastal fisheries should be a priority research area. Our modified size spectrum model provides a framework for further study of benthic and pelagic energy pathways that can be easily adapted to other ecosystems.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pbio.3002392&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 4 citations 4 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pbio.3002392&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2018 AustraliaPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Publicly fundedFunded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran..., ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377 ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP170104240Authors:Reg Watson;
Reg Watson;Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard; +2 AuthorsJulia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREReg Watson;
Reg Watson;Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard; Laurence T. Kell;Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREAlex Tidd;
Alex Tidd
Alex Tidd in OpenAIREAbstractOverfishing impacts the three pillars of sustainability: social, ecological and economic. Tuna represent a significant part of the global seafood market with an annual value exceeding USD$42B and are vulnerable to overfishing. Our understanding of how social and economic drivers contribute to overexploitation is not well developed. We address this problem by integrating social, ecological and economic indicators to help predict changes in exploitation status, namely fishing mortality relative to the level that would support the maximum sustainable yield (F/FMSY). To do this we examined F/FMSY for 23 stocks exploited by more than 80 states across the world’s oceans. Low-HDI countries were most at risk of overexploitation of the tuna stocks we examined and increases in economic and social development were not always associated with improved stock status. In the short-term frozen price was a dominant predictor of F/FMSY providing a positive link between the market dynamics and the quantity of fish landed. Given the dependence on seafood in low-income regions, improved measures to safeguard against fisheries overexploitation in the face of global change and uncertainty are needed.
Scientific Reports arrow_drop_down University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41598-018-28805-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Scientific Reports arrow_drop_down University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41598-018-28805-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2018 AustraliaPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Publicly fundedFunded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran..., ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140101377 ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP170104240Authors:Reg Watson;
Reg Watson;Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard; +2 AuthorsJulia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREReg Watson;
Reg Watson;Reg Watson
Reg Watson in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard; Laurence T. Kell;Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREAlex Tidd;
Alex Tidd
Alex Tidd in OpenAIREAbstractOverfishing impacts the three pillars of sustainability: social, ecological and economic. Tuna represent a significant part of the global seafood market with an annual value exceeding USD$42B and are vulnerable to overfishing. Our understanding of how social and economic drivers contribute to overexploitation is not well developed. We address this problem by integrating social, ecological and economic indicators to help predict changes in exploitation status, namely fishing mortality relative to the level that would support the maximum sustainable yield (F/FMSY). To do this we examined F/FMSY for 23 stocks exploited by more than 80 states across the world’s oceans. Low-HDI countries were most at risk of overexploitation of the tuna stocks we examined and increases in economic and social development were not always associated with improved stock status. In the short-term frozen price was a dominant predictor of F/FMSY providing a positive link between the market dynamics and the quantity of fish landed. Given the dependence on seafood in low-income regions, improved measures to safeguard against fisheries overexploitation in the face of global change and uncertainty are needed.
Scientific Reports arrow_drop_down University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41598-018-28805-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Scientific Reports arrow_drop_down University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41598-018-28805-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 Australia, Australia, Spain, France, Spain, United KingdomPublisher:Wiley Funded by:NSERC, EC | BIGSEANSERC ,EC| BIGSEAAuthors:William W. L. Cheung;
William W. L. Cheung
William W. L. Cheung in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; +9 AuthorsDerek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREWilliam W. L. Cheung;
William W. L. Cheung
William W. L. Cheung in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury;Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Simon Jennings; Simon Jennings;Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREAbstractClimate change effects on marine ecosystems include impacts on primary production, ocean temperature, species distributions, and abundance at local to global scales. These changes will significantly alter marine ecosystem structure and function with associated socio‐economic impacts on ecosystem services, marine fisheries, and fishery‐dependent societies. Yet how these changes may play out among ocean basins over the 21st century remains unclear, with most projections coming from single ecosystem models that do not adequately capture the range of model uncertainty. We address this by using six marine ecosystem models within the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (Fish‐MIP) to analyze responses of marine animal biomass in all major ocean basins to contrasting climate change scenarios. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5), total marine animal biomass declined by an ensemble mean of 15%–30% (±12%–17%) in the North and South Atlantic and Pacific, and the Indian Ocean by 2100, whereas polar ocean basins experienced a 20%–80% (±35%–200%) increase. Uncertainty and model disagreement were greatest in the Arctic and smallest in the South Pacific Ocean. Projected changes were reduced under a low (RCP2.6) emissions scenario. Under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, biomass projections were highly correlated with changes in net primary production and negatively correlated with projected sea surface temperature increases across all ocean basins except the polar oceans. Ecosystem structure was projected to shift as animal biomass concentrated in different size‐classes across ocean basins and emissions scenarios. We highlight that climate change mitigation measures could moderate the impacts on marine animal biomass by reducing biomass declines in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Ocean basins. The range of individual model projections emphasizes the importance of using an ensemble approach in assessing uncertainty of future change.
Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: CrossrefUniversity of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.14512&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 161 citations 161 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 58visibility views 58 download downloads 352 Powered bymore_vert Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: CrossrefUniversity of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.14512&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 Australia, Australia, Spain, France, Spain, United KingdomPublisher:Wiley Funded by:NSERC, EC | BIGSEANSERC ,EC| BIGSEAAuthors:William W. L. Cheung;
William W. L. Cheung
William W. L. Cheung in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; +9 AuthorsDerek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREWilliam W. L. Cheung;
William W. L. Cheung
William W. L. Cheung in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREDerek P. Tittensor;
Derek P. Tittensor; Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith;Derek P. Tittensor
Derek P. Tittensor in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury;Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREAndrea Bryndum-Buchholz;
Simon Jennings; Simon Jennings;Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz in OpenAIREHeike K. Lotze;
Heike K. Lotze
Heike K. Lotze in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREAbstractClimate change effects on marine ecosystems include impacts on primary production, ocean temperature, species distributions, and abundance at local to global scales. These changes will significantly alter marine ecosystem structure and function with associated socio‐economic impacts on ecosystem services, marine fisheries, and fishery‐dependent societies. Yet how these changes may play out among ocean basins over the 21st century remains unclear, with most projections coming from single ecosystem models that do not adequately capture the range of model uncertainty. We address this by using six marine ecosystem models within the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (Fish‐MIP) to analyze responses of marine animal biomass in all major ocean basins to contrasting climate change scenarios. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5), total marine animal biomass declined by an ensemble mean of 15%–30% (±12%–17%) in the North and South Atlantic and Pacific, and the Indian Ocean by 2100, whereas polar ocean basins experienced a 20%–80% (±35%–200%) increase. Uncertainty and model disagreement were greatest in the Arctic and smallest in the South Pacific Ocean. Projected changes were reduced under a low (RCP2.6) emissions scenario. Under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, biomass projections were highly correlated with changes in net primary production and negatively correlated with projected sea surface temperature increases across all ocean basins except the polar oceans. Ecosystem structure was projected to shift as animal biomass concentrated in different size‐classes across ocean basins and emissions scenarios. We highlight that climate change mitigation measures could moderate the impacts on marine animal biomass by reducing biomass declines in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Ocean basins. The range of individual model projections emphasizes the importance of using an ensemble approach in assessing uncertainty of future change.
Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: CrossrefUniversity of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.14512&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 161 citations 161 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 58visibility views 58 download downloads 352 Powered bymore_vert Global Change Biolog... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2019Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2019Data sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2019Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerGlobal Change BiologyArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Wiley Online Library User AgreementData sources: CrossrefUniversity of East Anglia: UEA Digital RepositoryArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.14512&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2023 Germany, France, France, Canada, United States, France, FrancePublisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP190102293Authors:Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney;
Du Pontavice, Hubert; Reygondeau, Gabriel;Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney
Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney in OpenAIREBarrier, Nicolas;
+14 AuthorsBarrier, Nicolas
Barrier, Nicolas in OpenAIREGuibourd de Luzinais, Vianney;
Du Pontavice, Hubert; Reygondeau, Gabriel;Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney
Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney in OpenAIREBarrier, Nicolas;
Barrier, Nicolas
Barrier, Nicolas in OpenAIREBlanchard, Julia;
Bornarel, Virginie;Blanchard, Julia
Blanchard, Julia in OpenAIREBüchner, Matthias;
Cheung, William; Eddy, Tyler; Everett, Jason; Guiet, Jerome;Büchner, Matthias
Büchner, Matthias in OpenAIREHarrison, Cheryl;
Harrison, Cheryl
Harrison, Cheryl in OpenAIREMaury, Olivier;
Novaglio, Camilla;Maury, Olivier
Maury, Olivier in OpenAIREPetrik, Colleen;
Petrik, Colleen
Petrik, Colleen in OpenAIRESteenbeek, Jeroen;
Tittensor, Derek;Steenbeek, Jeroen
Steenbeek, Jeroen in OpenAIREGascuel, Didier;
Gascuel, Didier
Gascuel, Didier in OpenAIREMarine animal biomass is expected to decrease in the 21st century due to climate driven changes in ocean environmental conditions. Previous studies suggest that the magnitude of the decline in primary production on apex predators could be amplified through the trophodynamics of marine food webs, leading to larger decreases in the biomass of predators relative to the decrease in primary production, a mechanism called trophic amplification. We compared relative changes in producer and consumer biomass or production in the global ocean to assess the extent of trophic amplification. We used simulations from nine marine ecosystem models (MEMs) from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Models Intercomparison Project forced by two Earth System Models under the high greenhouse gas emissions Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP5-8.5) and a scenario of no fishing. Globally, total consumer biomass is projected to decrease by 16.7 ± 9.5% more than net primary production (NPP) by 2090–2099 relative to 1995–2014, with substantial variations among MEMs and regions. Total consumer biomass is projected to decrease almost everywhere in the ocean (80% of the world’s oceans) in the model ensemble. In 40% of the world’s oceans, consumer biomass was projected to decrease more than NPP. Additionally, in another 36% of the world’s oceans consumer biomass is expected to decrease even as projected NPP increases. By analysing the biomass response within food webs in available MEMs, we found that model parameters and structures contributed to more complex responses than a consistent amplification of climate impacts of higher trophic levels. Our study provides additional insights into the ecological mechanisms that will impact marine ecosystems, thereby informing model and scenario development.
Institut National de... arrow_drop_down Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2023Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.575744.1Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2023License: CC BYFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6q46w4n5Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2023Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2023Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0287570&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 10 citations 10 popularity Average influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Institut National de... arrow_drop_down Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2023Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.575744.1Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2023License: CC BYFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6q46w4n5Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2023Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2023Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2023 Germany, France, France, Canada, United States, France, FrancePublisher:Public Library of Science (PLoS) Funded by:ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran...ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP190102293Authors:Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney;
Du Pontavice, Hubert; Reygondeau, Gabriel;Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney
Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney in OpenAIREBarrier, Nicolas;
+14 AuthorsBarrier, Nicolas
Barrier, Nicolas in OpenAIREGuibourd de Luzinais, Vianney;
Du Pontavice, Hubert; Reygondeau, Gabriel;Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney
Guibourd de Luzinais, Vianney in OpenAIREBarrier, Nicolas;
Barrier, Nicolas
Barrier, Nicolas in OpenAIREBlanchard, Julia;
Bornarel, Virginie;Blanchard, Julia
Blanchard, Julia in OpenAIREBüchner, Matthias;
Cheung, William; Eddy, Tyler; Everett, Jason; Guiet, Jerome;Büchner, Matthias
Büchner, Matthias in OpenAIREHarrison, Cheryl;
Harrison, Cheryl
Harrison, Cheryl in OpenAIREMaury, Olivier;
Novaglio, Camilla;Maury, Olivier
Maury, Olivier in OpenAIREPetrik, Colleen;
Petrik, Colleen
Petrik, Colleen in OpenAIRESteenbeek, Jeroen;
Tittensor, Derek;Steenbeek, Jeroen
Steenbeek, Jeroen in OpenAIREGascuel, Didier;
Gascuel, Didier
Gascuel, Didier in OpenAIREMarine animal biomass is expected to decrease in the 21st century due to climate driven changes in ocean environmental conditions. Previous studies suggest that the magnitude of the decline in primary production on apex predators could be amplified through the trophodynamics of marine food webs, leading to larger decreases in the biomass of predators relative to the decrease in primary production, a mechanism called trophic amplification. We compared relative changes in producer and consumer biomass or production in the global ocean to assess the extent of trophic amplification. We used simulations from nine marine ecosystem models (MEMs) from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Models Intercomparison Project forced by two Earth System Models under the high greenhouse gas emissions Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP5-8.5) and a scenario of no fishing. Globally, total consumer biomass is projected to decrease by 16.7 ± 9.5% more than net primary production (NPP) by 2090–2099 relative to 1995–2014, with substantial variations among MEMs and regions. Total consumer biomass is projected to decrease almost everywhere in the ocean (80% of the world’s oceans) in the model ensemble. In 40% of the world’s oceans, consumer biomass was projected to decrease more than NPP. Additionally, in another 36% of the world’s oceans consumer biomass is expected to decrease even as projected NPP increases. By analysing the biomass response within food webs in available MEMs, we found that model parameters and structures contributed to more complex responses than a consistent amplification of climate impacts of higher trophic levels. Our study provides additional insights into the ecological mechanisms that will impact marine ecosystems, thereby informing model and scenario development.
Institut National de... arrow_drop_down Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2023Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.575744.1Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2023License: CC BYFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6q46w4n5Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2023Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2023Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0287570&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 10 citations 10 popularity Average influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Institut National de... arrow_drop_down Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2023Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.575744.1Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2023License: CC BYFull-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6q46w4n5Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2023Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2023Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerPublication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2023License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1371/journal.pone.0287570&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Report 2022Embargo end date: 18 Jul 2022 Australia, Australia, Germany, France, France, Canada, Australia, Australia, Australia, United States, United States, France, Austria, Spain, FrancePublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:ARC | Discovery Early Career Re..., ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran..., NSERC +3 projectsARC| Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE210101918 ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP110101540 ,NSERC ,ARC| How can communities sustainably manage coral reefs? ,ARC| Future Fellowships - Grant ID: FT160100047 ,ARC| ARC Centres of Excellences - Grant ID: CE140100020Authors:Joshua E. Cinner;
Joshua E. Cinner
Joshua E. Cinner in OpenAIREIain R. Caldwell;
Iain R. Caldwell
Iain R. Caldwell in OpenAIRELauric Thiault;
John Ben; +24 AuthorsLauric Thiault
Lauric Thiault in OpenAIREJoshua E. Cinner;
Joshua E. Cinner
Joshua E. Cinner in OpenAIREIain R. Caldwell;
Iain R. Caldwell
Iain R. Caldwell in OpenAIRELauric Thiault;
John Ben;Lauric Thiault
Lauric Thiault in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREAmy Diedrich;
Amy Diedrich
Amy Diedrich in OpenAIRETyler D. Eddy;
Tyler D. Eddy
Tyler D. Eddy in OpenAIREJason D. Everett;
Jason D. Everett
Jason D. Everett in OpenAIREChristian Folberth;
Christian Folberth
Christian Folberth in OpenAIREDidier Gascuel;
Didier Gascuel
Didier Gascuel in OpenAIREJérôme Guiet;
Jérôme Guiet
Jérôme Guiet in OpenAIREGeorgina G. Gurney;
Georgina G. Gurney
Georgina G. Gurney in OpenAIRERyan Heneghan;
Jonas Jägermeyr; Narriman Jiddawi; Rachael Lahari; John Kuange;Ryan Heneghan
Ryan Heneghan in OpenAIREWenfeng Liu;
Wenfeng Liu
Wenfeng Liu in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIRECamilla Novaglio;
Camilla Novaglio
Camilla Novaglio in OpenAIREJuliano Palacios‐Abrantes;
Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes
Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes in OpenAIREColleen M. Petrik;
Colleen M. Petrik
Colleen M. Petrik in OpenAIREAndo Rabearisoa;
Derek Tittensor; Andrew Wamukota; Richard Β. Pollnac;Ando Rabearisoa
Ando Rabearisoa in OpenAIREdoi: 10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4 , 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1620392/v1 , 10.60692/kn667-x6j26 , 10.60692/eaj3q-g7706 , 10.34657/8801
pmid: 35790744
pmc: PMC9256605
handle: 10261/279290 , 10072/429163
doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4 , 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1620392/v1 , 10.60692/kn667-x6j26 , 10.60692/eaj3q-g7706 , 10.34657/8801
pmid: 35790744
pmc: PMC9256605
handle: 10261/279290 , 10072/429163
AbstractClimate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, especially below national scales, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. Here, we combine socioeconomic surveys of 3,008 households and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five Indo-Pacific countries (Indonesia, Madagascar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, and Tanzania). Our study reveals three key findings: First, overall potential losses to fisheries are higher than potential losses to agriculture. Second, while most locations (> 2/3) will experience potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, climate change mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing that double burden. Third, potential impacts are more likely in communities with lower socioeconomic status.
Griffith University:... arrow_drop_down Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429163Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2z5121cbData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6kb2x45jData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Rhode Island: DigitalCommons@URIArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)James Cook University, Australia: ResearchOnline@JCUArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2022Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAReport . 2022License: CC BY NC SAData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaQueensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 40 citations 40 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 52visibility views 52 download downloads 181 Powered bymore_vert Griffith University:... arrow_drop_down Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429163Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2z5121cbData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6kb2x45jData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Rhode Island: DigitalCommons@URIArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)James Cook University, Australia: ResearchOnline@JCUArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2022Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAReport . 2022License: CC BY NC SAData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaQueensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Report 2022Embargo end date: 18 Jul 2022 Australia, Australia, Germany, France, France, Canada, Australia, Australia, Australia, United States, United States, France, Austria, Spain, FrancePublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:ARC | Discovery Early Career Re..., ARC | Discovery Projects - Gran..., NSERC +3 projectsARC| Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE210101918 ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP110101540 ,NSERC ,ARC| How can communities sustainably manage coral reefs? ,ARC| Future Fellowships - Grant ID: FT160100047 ,ARC| ARC Centres of Excellences - Grant ID: CE140100020Authors:Joshua E. Cinner;
Joshua E. Cinner
Joshua E. Cinner in OpenAIREIain R. Caldwell;
Iain R. Caldwell
Iain R. Caldwell in OpenAIRELauric Thiault;
John Ben; +24 AuthorsLauric Thiault
Lauric Thiault in OpenAIREJoshua E. Cinner;
Joshua E. Cinner
Joshua E. Cinner in OpenAIREIain R. Caldwell;
Iain R. Caldwell
Iain R. Caldwell in OpenAIRELauric Thiault;
John Ben;Lauric Thiault
Lauric Thiault in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREAmy Diedrich;
Amy Diedrich
Amy Diedrich in OpenAIRETyler D. Eddy;
Tyler D. Eddy
Tyler D. Eddy in OpenAIREJason D. Everett;
Jason D. Everett
Jason D. Everett in OpenAIREChristian Folberth;
Christian Folberth
Christian Folberth in OpenAIREDidier Gascuel;
Didier Gascuel
Didier Gascuel in OpenAIREJérôme Guiet;
Jérôme Guiet
Jérôme Guiet in OpenAIREGeorgina G. Gurney;
Georgina G. Gurney
Georgina G. Gurney in OpenAIRERyan Heneghan;
Jonas Jägermeyr; Narriman Jiddawi; Rachael Lahari; John Kuange;Ryan Heneghan
Ryan Heneghan in OpenAIREWenfeng Liu;
Wenfeng Liu
Wenfeng Liu in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIRECamilla Novaglio;
Camilla Novaglio
Camilla Novaglio in OpenAIREJuliano Palacios‐Abrantes;
Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes
Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes in OpenAIREColleen M. Petrik;
Colleen M. Petrik
Colleen M. Petrik in OpenAIREAndo Rabearisoa;
Derek Tittensor; Andrew Wamukota; Richard Β. Pollnac;Ando Rabearisoa
Ando Rabearisoa in OpenAIREdoi: 10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4 , 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1620392/v1 , 10.60692/kn667-x6j26 , 10.60692/eaj3q-g7706 , 10.34657/8801
pmid: 35790744
pmc: PMC9256605
handle: 10261/279290 , 10072/429163
doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4 , 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1620392/v1 , 10.60692/kn667-x6j26 , 10.60692/eaj3q-g7706 , 10.34657/8801
pmid: 35790744
pmc: PMC9256605
handle: 10261/279290 , 10072/429163
AbstractClimate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, especially below national scales, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. Here, we combine socioeconomic surveys of 3,008 households and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five Indo-Pacific countries (Indonesia, Madagascar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, and Tanzania). Our study reveals three key findings: First, overall potential losses to fisheries are higher than potential losses to agriculture. Second, while most locations (> 2/3) will experience potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, climate change mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing that double burden. Third, potential impacts are more likely in communities with lower socioeconomic status.
Griffith University:... arrow_drop_down Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429163Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2z5121cbData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6kb2x45jData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Rhode Island: DigitalCommons@URIArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)James Cook University, Australia: ResearchOnline@JCUArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2022Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAReport . 2022License: CC BY NC SAData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaQueensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 40 citations 40 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 52visibility views 52 download downloads 181 Powered bymore_vert Griffith University:... arrow_drop_down Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429163Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Memorial University of Newfoundland: Research RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2z5121cbData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6kb2x45jData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Rhode Island: DigitalCommons@URIArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)James Cook University, Australia: ResearchOnline@JCUArticle . 2022Full-Text: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefRecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2022Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAReport . 2022License: CC BY NC SAData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2022Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaQueensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Review , Other literature type 2021 Australia, Australia, France, United States, France, Spain, France, Australia, Australia, Australia, Spain, France, GermanyPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | FutureMARES, ANR | CIGOEF, EC | TRIATLAS +3 projectsEC| FutureMARES ,ANR| CIGOEF ,EC| TRIATLAS ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP150102656 ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP190102293 ,EC| BIGSEAAuthors:Jeroen Steenbeek;
Jan Volkholz; Derek P. Tittensor; William W. L. Cheung; +25 AuthorsJeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jan Volkholz; Derek P. Tittensor; William W. L. Cheung; Hubert Du Pontavice;Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIRECheryl S. Harrison;
Cheryl S. Harrison
Cheryl S. Harrison in OpenAIREDidier Gascuel;
Jérôme Guiet;Didier Gascuel
Didier Gascuel in OpenAIRERyan F. Heneghan;
Ryan F. Heneghan;Ryan F. Heneghan
Ryan F. Heneghan in OpenAIREColleen M. Petrik;
Colleen M. Petrik
Colleen M. Petrik in OpenAIRECatherine M. Bulman;
Catherine M. Bulman
Catherine M. Bulman in OpenAIREJose A. Fernandes-Salvador;
Jose A. Fernandes-Salvador
Jose A. Fernandes-Salvador in OpenAIRENicolas Barrier;
Nicolas Barrier
Nicolas Barrier in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Juliano Palacios-Abrantes; Travis C. Tai;Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREJason D. Everett;
Jason D. Everett; Jason D. Everett;Jason D. Everett
Jason D. Everett in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith; Anthony J. Richardson; Anthony J. Richardson;Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREPhoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats;
Maite Erauskin-Extramiana; Tyler D. Eddy;Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats
Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats in OpenAIREhandle: 10261/249690 , 10072/429165
Climate change is warming the ocean and impacting lower trophic level (LTL) organisms. Marine ecosystem models can provide estimates of how these changes will propagate to larger animals and impact societal services such as fisheries, but at present these estimates vary widely. A better understanding of what drives this inter-model variation will improve our ability to project fisheries and other ecosystem services into the future, while also helping to identify uncertainties in process understanding. Here, we explore the mechanisms that underlie the diversity of responses to changes in temperature and LTLs in eight global marine ecosystem models from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP). Temperature and LTL impacts on total consumer biomass and ecosystem structure (defined as the relative change of small and large organism biomass) were isolated using a comparative experimental protocol. Total model biomass varied between −35% to +3% in response to warming, and -17% to +15% in response to LTL changes. There was little consensus about the spatial redistribution of biomass or changes in the balance between small and large organisms (ecosystem structure) in response to warming, an LTL impacts on total consumer biomass varied depending on the choice of LTL forcing terms. Overall, climate change impacts on consumer biomass and ecosystem structure are well approximated by the sum of temperature and LTL impacts, indicating an absence of nonlinear interaction between the models' drivers. Our results highlight a lack of theoretical clarity about how to represent fundamental ecological mechanisms, most importantly how temperature impacts scale from individual to ecosystem level, and the need to better understand the two-way coupling between LTL organisms and consumers. We finish by identifying future research needs to strengthen global marine ecosystem modelling and improve projections of climate change impacts.
Queensland Universit... arrow_drop_down Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2021License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429165Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2021Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/195122vhData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2021Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2021Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaProgress In OceanographyArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102659&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 64 citations 64 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 65visibility views 65 download downloads 104 Powered bymore_vert Queensland Universit... arrow_drop_down Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2021License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429165Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2021Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/195122vhData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2021Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2021Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaProgress In OceanographyArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102659&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Review , Other literature type 2021 Australia, Australia, France, United States, France, Spain, France, Australia, Australia, Australia, Spain, France, GermanyPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | FutureMARES, ANR | CIGOEF, EC | TRIATLAS +3 projectsEC| FutureMARES ,ANR| CIGOEF ,EC| TRIATLAS ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP150102656 ,ARC| Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP190102293 ,EC| BIGSEAAuthors:Jeroen Steenbeek;
Jan Volkholz; Derek P. Tittensor; William W. L. Cheung; +25 AuthorsJeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIREJeroen Steenbeek;
Jan Volkholz; Derek P. Tittensor; William W. L. Cheung; Hubert Du Pontavice;Jeroen Steenbeek
Jeroen Steenbeek in OpenAIRECheryl S. Harrison;
Cheryl S. Harrison
Cheryl S. Harrison in OpenAIREDidier Gascuel;
Jérôme Guiet;Didier Gascuel
Didier Gascuel in OpenAIRERyan F. Heneghan;
Ryan F. Heneghan;Ryan F. Heneghan
Ryan F. Heneghan in OpenAIREColleen M. Petrik;
Colleen M. Petrik
Colleen M. Petrik in OpenAIRECatherine M. Bulman;
Catherine M. Bulman
Catherine M. Bulman in OpenAIREJose A. Fernandes-Salvador;
Jose A. Fernandes-Salvador
Jose A. Fernandes-Salvador in OpenAIRENicolas Barrier;
Nicolas Barrier
Nicolas Barrier in OpenAIREOlivier Maury;
Olivier Maury
Olivier Maury in OpenAIREJulia L. Blanchard;
Juliano Palacios-Abrantes; Travis C. Tai;Julia L. Blanchard
Julia L. Blanchard in OpenAIREJason D. Everett;
Jason D. Everett; Jason D. Everett;Jason D. Everett
Jason D. Everett in OpenAIREMarta Coll;
Eric D. Galbraith; Eric D. Galbraith; Anthony J. Richardson; Anthony J. Richardson;Marta Coll
Marta Coll in OpenAIREPhoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats;
Maite Erauskin-Extramiana; Tyler D. Eddy;Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats
Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats in OpenAIREhandle: 10261/249690 , 10072/429165
Climate change is warming the ocean and impacting lower trophic level (LTL) organisms. Marine ecosystem models can provide estimates of how these changes will propagate to larger animals and impact societal services such as fisheries, but at present these estimates vary widely. A better understanding of what drives this inter-model variation will improve our ability to project fisheries and other ecosystem services into the future, while also helping to identify uncertainties in process understanding. Here, we explore the mechanisms that underlie the diversity of responses to changes in temperature and LTLs in eight global marine ecosystem models from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP). Temperature and LTL impacts on total consumer biomass and ecosystem structure (defined as the relative change of small and large organism biomass) were isolated using a comparative experimental protocol. Total model biomass varied between −35% to +3% in response to warming, and -17% to +15% in response to LTL changes. There was little consensus about the spatial redistribution of biomass or changes in the balance between small and large organisms (ecosystem structure) in response to warming, an LTL impacts on total consumer biomass varied depending on the choice of LTL forcing terms. Overall, climate change impacts on consumer biomass and ecosystem structure are well approximated by the sum of temperature and LTL impacts, indicating an absence of nonlinear interaction between the models' drivers. Our results highlight a lack of theoretical clarity about how to represent fundamental ecological mechanisms, most importantly how temperature impacts scale from individual to ecosystem level, and the need to better understand the two-way coupling between LTL organisms and consumers. We finish by identifying future research needs to strengthen global marine ecosystem modelling and improve projections of climate change impacts.
Queensland Universit... arrow_drop_down Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2021License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429165Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2021Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/195122vhData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2021Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2021Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaProgress In OceanographyArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102659&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 64 citations 64 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 65visibility views 65 download downloads 104 Powered bymore_vert Queensland Universit... arrow_drop_down Queensland University of Technology: QUT ePrintsArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Griffith University: Griffith Research OnlineArticle . 2021License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10072/429165Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2021Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/195122vhData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTARecolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTADiposit Digital de Documents de la UABArticle . 2021License: CC BYData sources: Diposit Digital de Documents de la UABArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2021Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)eScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2021Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaProgress In OceanographyArticle . 2021 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2021Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102659&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu