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Predicting shifting sustainability trade‐offs in marine finfish aquaculture under climate change

Authors: Gianluca Sarà; Tarik C. Gouhier; Daniele Brigolin; Erika M. D. Porporato; Maria Cristina Mangano; Simone Mirto; Antonio Mazzola; +1 Authors

Predicting shifting sustainability trade‐offs in marine finfish aquaculture under climate change

Abstract

AbstractDefining sustainability goals is a crucial but difficult task because it often involves the quantification of multiple interrelated and sometimes conflicting components. This complexity may be exacerbated by climate change, which will increase environmental vulnerability in aquaculture and potentially compromise the ability to meet the needs of a growing human population. Here, we developed an approach to inform sustainable aquaculture by quantifying spatio‐temporal shifts in critical trade‐offs between environmental costs and benefits using the time to reach the commercial size as a possible proxy of economic implications of aquaculture under climate change. Our results indicate that optimizing aquaculture practices by minimizing impact (this study considers as impact a benthic carbon deposition ≥ 1 g C m−2 day−1) will become increasingly difficult under climate change. Moreover, an increasing temperature will produce a poleward shift in sustainability trade‐offs. These findings suggest that future sustainable management strategies and plans will need to account for the effects of climate change across scales. Overall, our results highlight the importance of integrating environmental factors in order to sustainably manage critical natural resources under shifting climatic conditions.

Country
Italy
Keywords

aquaculture; mechanistic predictive models; Mediterranean Sea; regional climate models; seabass; trade-offs, Aquatic Organisms, Conservation of Natural Resources, Climate Change, Fisheries, Aquaculture, Aquaculture; Mechanistic predictive models; Mediterranean Sea; Regional climate models; Seabass; Trade-offs; Global and Planetary Change; Environmental Chemistry; Ecology; 2300, Mediterranean Sea, seabass, Animals, Humans, Fishes, Temperature, regional climate models, mechanistic predictive models, trade-offs, aquaculture

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    58
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
58
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
hybrid