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Climate change disrupts core habitats of marine species

pmid: 36789726
AbstractDriven by climate change, marine biodiversity is undergoing a phase of rapid change that has proven to be even faster than changes observed in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding how these changes in species composition will affect future marine life is crucial for conservation management, especially due to increasing demands for marine natural resources. Here, we analyse predictions of a multiparameter habitat suitability model covering the global projected ranges of >33,500 marine species from climate model projections under three CO2 emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) up to the year 2100. Our results show that the core habitat area will decline for many species, resulting in a net loss of 50% of the core habitat area for almost half of all marine species in 2100 under the high‐emission scenario RCP8.5. As an additional consequence of the continuing distributional reorganization of marine life, gaps around the equator will appear for 8% (RCP2.6), 24% (RCP4.5), and 88% (RCP8.5) of marine species with cross‐equatorial ranges. For many more species, continuous distributional ranges will be disrupted, thus reducing effective population size. In addition, high invasion rates in higher latitudes and polar regions will lead to substantial changes in the ecosystem and food web structure, particularly regarding the introduction of new predators. Overall, our study highlights that the degree of spatial and structural reorganization of marine life with ensued consequences for ecosystem functionality and conservation efforts will critically depend on the realized greenhouse gas emission pathway.
- Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Germany
- Université du Québec en Outaouais Canada
- University of Freiburg Germany
- Hochschule Bremerhaven Germany
- University of Quebec Canada
570, Food Chain, Representative Concentration Pathways, Climate Change, Marine protected area, Population, 551, Oceanography, Climate model, Environmental science, Sociology, Marine Population Connectivity, Marine ecosystem, Climate change, Fish Population Dynamics, Biodiversity Shifts, Biology, Ecosystem, Demography, Global and Planetary Change, Marine Ecosystems, Resilience of Coral Reef Ecosystems to Climate Change, Ecology, Impact of Ocean Acidification on Marine Ecosystems, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Biodiversity, FOS: Sociology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Habitat, FOS: Biological sciences, Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Fisheries, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences
570, Food Chain, Representative Concentration Pathways, Climate Change, Marine protected area, Population, 551, Oceanography, Climate model, Environmental science, Sociology, Marine Population Connectivity, Marine ecosystem, Climate change, Fish Population Dynamics, Biodiversity Shifts, Biology, Ecosystem, Demography, Global and Planetary Change, Marine Ecosystems, Resilience of Coral Reef Ecosystems to Climate Change, Ecology, Impact of Ocean Acidification on Marine Ecosystems, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Biodiversity, FOS: Sociology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Habitat, FOS: Biological sciences, Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Fisheries, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).44 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
