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Global Change Biology
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/wb...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/hb...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
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Climate change disrupts core habitats of marine species

تغير المناخ يعطل الموائل الأساسية للأنواع البحرية
Authors: Dorothee Hodapp; Irene T. Roca; Dario Fiorentino; Cristina Garilao; Kristin Kaschner; Kathleen Kesner‐Reyes; Birgit Schneider; +5 Authors

Climate change disrupts core habitats of marine species

Abstract

AbstractDriven by climate change, marine biodiversity is undergoing a phase of rapid change that has proven to be even faster than changes observed in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding how these changes in species composition will affect future marine life is crucial for conservation management, especially due to increasing demands for marine natural resources. Here, we analyse predictions of a multiparameter habitat suitability model covering the global projected ranges of >33,500 marine species from climate model projections under three CO2 emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) up to the year 2100. Our results show that the core habitat area will decline for many species, resulting in a net loss of 50% of the core habitat area for almost half of all marine species in 2100 under the high‐emission scenario RCP8.5. As an additional consequence of the continuing distributional reorganization of marine life, gaps around the equator will appear for 8% (RCP2.6), 24% (RCP4.5), and 88% (RCP8.5) of marine species with cross‐equatorial ranges. For many more species, continuous distributional ranges will be disrupted, thus reducing effective population size. In addition, high invasion rates in higher latitudes and polar regions will lead to substantial changes in the ecosystem and food web structure, particularly regarding the introduction of new predators. Overall, our study highlights that the degree of spatial and structural reorganization of marine life with ensued consequences for ecosystem functionality and conservation efforts will critically depend on the realized greenhouse gas emission pathway.

Countries
Germany, Germany
Keywords

570, Food Chain, Representative Concentration Pathways, Climate Change, Marine protected area, Population, 551, Oceanography, Climate model, Environmental science, Sociology, Marine Population Connectivity, Marine ecosystem, Climate change, Fish Population Dynamics, Biodiversity Shifts, Biology, Ecosystem, Demography, Global and Planetary Change, Marine Ecosystems, Resilience of Coral Reef Ecosystems to Climate Change, Ecology, Impact of Ocean Acidification on Marine Ecosystems, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Biodiversity, FOS: Sociology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Habitat, FOS: Biological sciences, Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Fisheries, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    44
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
44
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid