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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid R. Rueda;
    R. Rueda
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    R. Rueda in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. P. Cuéllar;
    M. P. Cuéllar
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    M. P. Cuéllar in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. Molina-Solana;
    M. Molina-Solana
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    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M. Molina-Solana in OpenAIRE
    orcid Y. Guo;
    Y. Guo
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Y. Guo in OpenAIRE
    +1 Authors

    This work addresses the problem of energy consumption time series forecasting. In our approach, a set of time series containing energy consumption data is used to train a single, parameterised prediction model that can be used to predict future values for all the input time series. As a result, the proposed method is able to learn the common behaviour of all time series in the set (i.e., a fingerprint) and use this knowledge to perform the prediction task, and to explain this common behaviour as an algebraic formula. To that end, we use symbolic regression methods trained with both single- and multi-objective algorithms. Experimental results validate this approach to learn and model shared properties of different time series, which can then be used to obtain a generalised regression model encapsulating the global behaviour of different energy consumption time series.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Energiesarrow_drop_down
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    Energies
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    Energies
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
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    Energies
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Energies
    Article . 2019
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    Energies
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Energiesarrow_drop_down
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      Energies
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      Energies
      Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
      License: CC BY
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      Energies
      Article . 2019
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      Energies
      Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid R. Rueda;
    R. Rueda
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    R. Rueda in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. P. Cuéllar;
    M. P. Cuéllar
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M. P. Cuéllar in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. Molina-Solana;
    M. Molina-Solana
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M. Molina-Solana in OpenAIRE
    orcid Y. Guo;
    Y. Guo
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Y. Guo in OpenAIRE
    +1 Authors

    This work addresses the problem of energy consumption time series forecasting. In our approach, a set of time series containing energy consumption data is used to train a single, parameterised prediction model that can be used to predict future values for all the input time series. As a result, the proposed method is able to learn the common behaviour of all time series in the set (i.e., a fingerprint) and use this knowledge to perform the prediction task, and to explain this common behaviour as an algebraic formula. To that end, we use symbolic regression methods trained with both single- and multi-objective algorithms. Experimental results validate this approach to learn and model shared properties of different time series, which can then be used to obtain a generalised regression model encapsulating the global behaviour of different energy consumption time series.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Energiesarrow_drop_down
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Energies
    Article
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Sygma
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Energies
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Crossref
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Energies
    Article
    License: CC BY
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
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    Energies
    Article . 2019
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    Energies
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Energiesarrow_drop_down
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      Energies
      Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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      Energies
      Article . 2019
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      Energies
      Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: orcid bw R. Rueda;
    R. Rueda
    ORCID
    Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositories

    R. Rueda in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.P. Cuéllar;
    M.P. Cuéllar
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M.P. Cuéllar in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.C. Pegalajar;
    M.C. Pegalajar
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    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M.C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. Delgado;
    M. Delgado
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M. Delgado in OpenAIRE

    Abstract Energy consumption has increased in recent decades at a rate ranging from 1.5% to 10% per year in the developed world. As a consequence, several efforts have been made to model energy consumption in order to achieve a better use of energy and to minimize environmental impact. Open problems in this area range from energy consumption forecasting to user profile mining, energy source planning, to transportation, among others. To address these problems, it is important to have suitable tools to model energy consumption data series, so that the analysts and CEOs can have knowledge about the underlying properties of the power demand in order to make high-level decisions. In this paper, we focus on the problem of energy consumption modelling, and provide a solution from the perspective of symbolic regression. More specifically, we develop hybrid genetic programming algorithms to find the algebraic expression that best models daily energy consumption in public buildings at the University of Granada as a testbed, and compare the benefits of Straight Line Programs with the classic tree representation used in symbolic regression. Regarding algorithm design, the outcomes of our experimentation suggest that Straight Line Programs outperform other representation models in the symbolic regression problems studied, and also that the hybridation with local search methods can improve the quality of the resulting algebraic expression. On the other hand, with regards to energy consumption modelling, our approach empirically demonstrates that symbolic regression can be a powerful tool to find underlying relationships between multivariate energy consumption data series.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Applied Soft Computi...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Applied Soft Computing
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Applied Soft Computing
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    Authors: orcid bw R. Rueda;
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    R. Rueda in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.P. Cuéllar;
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    orcid M.C. Pegalajar;
    M.C. Pegalajar
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    M.C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. Delgado;
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    M. Delgado in OpenAIRE

    Abstract Energy consumption has increased in recent decades at a rate ranging from 1.5% to 10% per year in the developed world. As a consequence, several efforts have been made to model energy consumption in order to achieve a better use of energy and to minimize environmental impact. Open problems in this area range from energy consumption forecasting to user profile mining, energy source planning, to transportation, among others. To address these problems, it is important to have suitable tools to model energy consumption data series, so that the analysts and CEOs can have knowledge about the underlying properties of the power demand in order to make high-level decisions. In this paper, we focus on the problem of energy consumption modelling, and provide a solution from the perspective of symbolic regression. More specifically, we develop hybrid genetic programming algorithms to find the algebraic expression that best models daily energy consumption in public buildings at the University of Granada as a testbed, and compare the benefits of Straight Line Programs with the classic tree representation used in symbolic regression. Regarding algorithm design, the outcomes of our experimentation suggest that Straight Line Programs outperform other representation models in the symbolic regression problems studied, and also that the hybridation with local search methods can improve the quality of the resulting algebraic expression. On the other hand, with regards to energy consumption modelling, our approach empirically demonstrates that symbolic regression can be a powerful tool to find underlying relationships between multivariate energy consumption data series.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Applied Soft Computi...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Applied Soft Computing
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Applied Soft Computing
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    Authors: orcid M.C. Pegalajar;
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    M.C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE
    orcid L.G.B. Ruiz;
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    L.G.B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
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    M.P. Cuéllar in OpenAIRE
    R. Rueda;

    Abstract Electricity demand is shown to steadily increase in the last few years, and it is one of the key aspects of living standards and quantifying welfare effects. However, the irregularity of electricity demand is one of the main problems in this field. Therefore, it is important to accurately anticipate future expenditures in order to optimize energy generation and to avoid unexpected wastes. As a result, we developed Machine Learning models to predict electricity demand. In particular, our study has been performed using data of the Spanish Electricity Network from 2007 to 2019. To this end, we propose the implementation of a set of Machine Learning techniques using various frameworks. In particular, we implemented six different prediction models: Linear Regression, Regression Trees, Gradient Boosting Regression, Random Forests, Multi-layer Perceptron, and three types of recurrent neural networks. Our experimentation shows promising results in all cases, since our models provides better prediction than the one estimated by the Spanish Electricity Network with an improvement of 12% in the worst case and up to 37% for the best predictor, which turned out to be the Gated Recurrent Unit neural network.

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    International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
    Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
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    Authors: orcid M.C. Pegalajar;
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    M.C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE
    orcid L.G.B. Ruiz;
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    L.G.B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.P. Cuéllar;
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    M.P. Cuéllar in OpenAIRE
    R. Rueda;

    Abstract Electricity demand is shown to steadily increase in the last few years, and it is one of the key aspects of living standards and quantifying welfare effects. However, the irregularity of electricity demand is one of the main problems in this field. Therefore, it is important to accurately anticipate future expenditures in order to optimize energy generation and to avoid unexpected wastes. As a result, we developed Machine Learning models to predict electricity demand. In particular, our study has been performed using data of the Spanish Electricity Network from 2007 to 2019. To this end, we propose the implementation of a set of Machine Learning techniques using various frameworks. In particular, we implemented six different prediction models: Linear Regression, Regression Trees, Gradient Boosting Regression, Random Forests, Multi-layer Perceptron, and three types of recurrent neural networks. Our experimentation shows promising results in all cases, since our models provides better prediction than the one estimated by the Spanish Electricity Network with an improvement of 12% in the worst case and up to 37% for the best predictor, which turned out to be the Gated Recurrent Unit neural network.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ International Journa...arrow_drop_down
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    International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
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      International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
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    Authors: orcid L.G.B. Ruiz;
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    L.G.B. Ruiz; Rossella Arcucci; orcid Miguel Molina-Solana;
    Miguel Molina-Solana
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    Miguel Molina-Solana in OpenAIRE
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    Abstract In the Energy Efficiency field, the incorporation of intelligent systems in cities and buildings is motivated by the energy savings and pollution reduction that can be attained. To achieve this goal, energy modelling and a better understanding of how energy is consumed are fundamental factors. As a result, this study proposes a methodology for knowledge acquisition in energy-related data through Time-Series Clustering (TSC) techniques. In our experimentation, we utilize data from the buildings at the University of Granada (Spain) and compare several clustering methods to get the optimum model, in particular, we tested k-Means, k-Medoids, Hierarchical clustering and Gaussian Mixtures; as well as several algorithms to obtain the best grouping, such as PAM, CLARA, and two variants of Lloyd’s method, Small and Large. Thus, our methodology can provide non-trivial knowledge from raw energy data. In contrast to previous studies in this field, not only do we propose a clustering methodology to group time series straightforwardly, but we also present an automatic strategy to search and analyse energy periodicity in these series recursively so that we can deepen granularity and extract information at different levels of detail. The results show that k-Medoids with PAM is the best approach in virtually all cases, and the Squared Euclidean distance outperforms the rest of the metrics.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Expert Systems with ...arrow_drop_down
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    Expert Systems with Applications
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    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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    Authors: orcid L.G.B. Ruiz;
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    L.G.B. Ruiz; Rossella Arcucci; orcid Miguel Molina-Solana;
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    Miguel Molina-Solana in OpenAIRE
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    Abstract In the Energy Efficiency field, the incorporation of intelligent systems in cities and buildings is motivated by the energy savings and pollution reduction that can be attained. To achieve this goal, energy modelling and a better understanding of how energy is consumed are fundamental factors. As a result, this study proposes a methodology for knowledge acquisition in energy-related data through Time-Series Clustering (TSC) techniques. In our experimentation, we utilize data from the buildings at the University of Granada (Spain) and compare several clustering methods to get the optimum model, in particular, we tested k-Means, k-Medoids, Hierarchical clustering and Gaussian Mixtures; as well as several algorithms to obtain the best grouping, such as PAM, CLARA, and two variants of Lloyd’s method, Small and Large. Thus, our methodology can provide non-trivial knowledge from raw energy data. In contrast to previous studies in this field, not only do we propose a clustering methodology to group time series straightforwardly, but we also present an automatic strategy to search and analyse energy periodicity in these series recursively so that we can deepen granularity and extract information at different levels of detail. The results show that k-Medoids with PAM is the best approach in virtually all cases, and the Squared Euclidean distance outperforms the rest of the metrics.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Expert Systems with ...arrow_drop_down
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    Expert Systems with Applications
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      Expert Systems with Applications
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    Authors: orcid L. Cabezón;
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    orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
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    E. J. Gago in OpenAIRE
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    Photovoltaic solar energy is booming due to the continuous improvement in photovoltaic panel efficiency along with a downward trend in production costs. In addition, the European Union is committed to easing the implementation of renewable energy in many companies in order to obtain funding to install their own panels. Nonetheless, the nature of solar energy is intermittent and uncontrollable. This leads us to an uncertain scenario which may cause instability in photovoltaic systems. This research addresses this problem by implementing intelligent models to predict the production of solar energy. Real data from a solar farm in Scotland was utilized in this study. Finally, the models were able to accurately predict the energy to be produced in the next hour using historical information as predictor variables.

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    Energies
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    Authors: orcid L. Cabezón;
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    Photovoltaic solar energy is booming due to the continuous improvement in photovoltaic panel efficiency along with a downward trend in production costs. In addition, the European Union is committed to easing the implementation of renewable energy in many companies in order to obtain funding to install their own panels. Nonetheless, the nature of solar energy is intermittent and uncontrollable. This leads us to an uncertain scenario which may cause instability in photovoltaic systems. This research addresses this problem by implementing intelligent models to predict the production of solar energy. Real data from a solar farm in Scotland was utilized in this study. Finally, the models were able to accurately predict the energy to be produced in the next hour using historical information as predictor variables.

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    Energies
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    Authors: orcid D. Criado-Ramón;
    D. Criado-Ramón
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    orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    J. R. S. Iruela; orcid M. C. Pegalajar;
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    This paper introduces the first completely unsupervised methodology for non-intrusive load monitoring that does not rely on any additional data, making it suitable for real-life applications. The methodology includes an algorithm to efficiently decompose the aggregated energy load from households in events and algorithms based on expert knowledge to assign each of these events to four types of appliances: fridge, dishwasher, microwave, and washer/dryer. The methodology was developed to work with smart meters that have a granularity of 1 min and was evaluated using the Reference Energy Disaggregation Dataset. The results show that the algorithm can disaggregate the refrigerator with high accuracy and the usefulness of the proposed methodology to extract relevant features from other appliances, such as the power use and duration from the heating cycles of a dishwasher.

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    Authors: orcid D. Criado-Ramón;
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    This paper introduces the first completely unsupervised methodology for non-intrusive load monitoring that does not rely on any additional data, making it suitable for real-life applications. The methodology includes an algorithm to efficiently decompose the aggregated energy load from households in events and algorithms based on expert knowledge to assign each of these events to four types of appliances: fridge, dishwasher, microwave, and washer/dryer. The methodology was developed to work with smart meters that have a granularity of 1 min and was evaluated using the Reference Energy Disaggregation Dataset. The results show that the algorithm can disaggregate the refrigerator with high accuracy and the usefulness of the proposed methodology to extract relevant features from other appliances, such as the power use and duration from the heating cycles of a dishwasher.

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    Authors: orcid D. Criado-Ramón;
    D. Criado-Ramón
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    D. Criado-Ramón in OpenAIRE
    orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
    L. G. B. Ruiz
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. C. Pegalajar;
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    Pattern sequence-based models are a type of forecasting algorithm that utilizes clustering and other techniques to produce easily interpretable predictions faster than traditional machine learning models. This research focuses on their application in energy demand forecasting and introduces two significant contributions to the field. Firstly, this study evaluates the use of pattern sequence-based models with large datasets. Unlike previous works that use only one dataset or multiple datasets with less than two years of data, this work evaluates the models in three different public datasets, each containing eleven years of data. Secondly, we propose a new pattern sequence-based algorithm that uses a genetic algorithm to optimize the number of clusters alongside all other hyperparameters of the forecasting method, instead of using the Cluster Validity Indices (CVIs) commonly used in previous proposals. The results indicate that neural networks provide more accurate results than any pattern sequence-based algorithm and that our proposed algorithm outperforms other pattern sequence-based algorithms, albeit with a longer training time.

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    Big Data and Cognitive Computing
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      Big Data and Cognitive Computing
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    Authors: orcid D. Criado-Ramón;
    D. Criado-Ramón
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    D. Criado-Ramón in OpenAIRE
    orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. C. Pegalajar;
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    Pattern sequence-based models are a type of forecasting algorithm that utilizes clustering and other techniques to produce easily interpretable predictions faster than traditional machine learning models. This research focuses on their application in energy demand forecasting and introduces two significant contributions to the field. Firstly, this study evaluates the use of pattern sequence-based models with large datasets. Unlike previous works that use only one dataset or multiple datasets with less than two years of data, this work evaluates the models in three different public datasets, each containing eleven years of data. Secondly, we propose a new pattern sequence-based algorithm that uses a genetic algorithm to optimize the number of clusters alongside all other hyperparameters of the forecasting method, instead of using the Cluster Validity Indices (CVIs) commonly used in previous proposals. The results indicate that neural networks provide more accurate results than any pattern sequence-based algorithm and that our proposed algorithm outperforms other pattern sequence-based algorithms, albeit with a longer training time.

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    Big Data and Cognitive Computing
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Big Data and Cognitive Computing
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      Big Data and Cognitive Computing
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      Big Data and Cognitive Computing
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    Authors: orcid A. Cabrera;
    A. Cabrera
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    orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid D. Criado-Ramón;
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    D. Criado-Ramón in OpenAIRE
    C. D. Barranco; +1 Authors

    This paper presents the implementation and analysis of two approaches (fuzzy and conventional). Using hourly data from buildings at the University of Granada, we have examined their electricity demand and designed a model to predict energy consumption. Our proposal was conducted with the aid of time series techniques as well as the combination of artificial neural networks and clustering algorithms. Both approaches proved to be suitable for energy modelling although nonfuzzy models provided more variability and less robustness than fuzzy ones. Despite the relatively small difference between fuzzy and nonfuzzy estimates, the results reported in this study show that the fuzzy solution may be useful to enhance and enrich energy predictions.

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    International Journal of Intelligent Systems
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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      International Journal of Intelligent Systems
      Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: orcid A. Cabrera;
    A. Cabrera
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    A. Cabrera in OpenAIRE
    orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
    L. G. B. Ruiz
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid D. Criado-Ramón;
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    D. Criado-Ramón in OpenAIRE
    C. D. Barranco; +1 Authors

    This paper presents the implementation and analysis of two approaches (fuzzy and conventional). Using hourly data from buildings at the University of Granada, we have examined their electricity demand and designed a model to predict energy consumption. Our proposal was conducted with the aid of time series techniques as well as the combination of artificial neural networks and clustering algorithms. Both approaches proved to be suitable for energy modelling although nonfuzzy models provided more variability and less robustness than fuzzy ones. Despite the relatively small difference between fuzzy and nonfuzzy estimates, the results reported in this study show that the fuzzy solution may be useful to enhance and enrich energy predictions.

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    International Journal of Intelligent Systems
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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      International Journal of Intelligent Systems
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    Authors: orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
    L. G. B. Ruiz
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. C. Pegalajar;
    M. C. Pegalajar
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    M. C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE

    Currently, new technologies and approaches are continuously and rapidly being introduced and implemented in energy systems [...]

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    Energies
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    Authors: orcid L. G. B. Ruiz;
    L. G. B. Ruiz
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    L. G. B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M. C. Pegalajar;
    M. C. Pegalajar
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    M. C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE

    Currently, new technologies and approaches are continuously and rapidly being introduced and implemented in energy systems [...]

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Energiesarrow_drop_down
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    Energies
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    Energies
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    Authors: orcid L.G.B. Ruiz;
    L.G.B. Ruiz
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    L.G.B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.I. Capel;
    M.I. Capel
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    M.I. Capel in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.C. Pegalajar;
    M.C. Pegalajar
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    Abstract In our state-of-the-art study, we improve neural network-based models for predicting energy consumption in buildings by parallelizing the CHC adaptive search algorithm. We compared the sequential implementation of the evolutionary algorithm with the new parallel version to obtain predictors and found that this new version of our software tool halved the execution time of the sequential version. New predictors based on various classes of neural networks have been developed and the obtained results support the validity of the proposed approaches with an average improvement of 75% of the average execution time in relation to previous sequential implementations.

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    Applied Soft Computing
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Elsevier TDM
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      Applied Soft Computing
      Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: orcid L.G.B. Ruiz;
    L.G.B. Ruiz
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    L.G.B. Ruiz in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.I. Capel;
    M.I. Capel
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M.I. Capel in OpenAIRE
    orcid M.C. Pegalajar;
    M.C. Pegalajar
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    M.C. Pegalajar in OpenAIRE

    Abstract In our state-of-the-art study, we improve neural network-based models for predicting energy consumption in buildings by parallelizing the CHC adaptive search algorithm. We compared the sequential implementation of the evolutionary algorithm with the new parallel version to obtain predictors and found that this new version of our software tool halved the execution time of the sequential version. New predictors based on various classes of neural networks have been developed and the obtained results support the validity of the proposed approaches with an average improvement of 75% of the average execution time in relation to previous sequential implementations.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Applied Soft Computi...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Applied Soft Computing
    Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Elsevier TDM
    Data sources: Crossref
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Applied Soft Computi...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Applied Soft Computing
      Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
      License: Elsevier TDM
      Data sources: Crossref
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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